Looking to December

[talksalot]

I went 6-1... but I'm glad I don't have to say which one... gotta tell you... I hate playing IPFW...but with the game in their campus-gym, I like it more.... just something about that FW Coliseum that just irks me.  (SUU)

[wh]

Reminder - You have until tomorrow (Wed.) at 11a CT to cast your vote.

[Kyle321n]

I'm sticking to a 1 loss month again. New Mexico is good.

[wh]

Final call for any last minute voters.  The poll automatically locks at 11a.

[covufan]

A byproduct of winning 8 of nine is that we are now favored to win most of our future games:

http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=8361&s=267615

http://realtimerpi.com/ncaab/281_Men.html?Valparaiso

http://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/valparaiso-crusaders/projections

[Kyle321n]

A byproduct of winning 8 of nine is that we are now favored to win most of our future games:

http://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=8361&s=267615

http://realtimerpi.com/ncaab/281_Men.html?Valparaiso

http://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/valparaiso-crusaders/projections

Wow, Massey has us going 28-3 and RealTime and TeamRankings has us going 29-1. KenPom has us losing 3 more games, which seems most realistic of these projections.

Here's KenPom's (I'd link to it, but it's subscription based.)


The little numbers between the score prediction and the % of victory is how many possessions are projected for the match up.

[EddieCabot]

KenPom has us losing 3 more games, which seems most realistic of these projections.

From your screen cap, KenPom is predicting 11-5 in league and 24-7 overall.  RPI Forecast is predicting only 6 total losses (12-4 league record), so it's pretty similar. 

I don't know much about how these all work, but I assume that they're still moving around a bit this early in the season.

[Kyle321n]

KenPom has us losing 3 more games, which seems most realistic of these projections.

From your screen cap, KenPom is predicting 11-5 in league and 24-7 overall.  RPI Forecast is predicting only 6 total losses (12-4 league record), so it's pretty similar. 

I don't know much about how these all work, but I assume that they're still moving around a bit this early in the season.

This is from the W-L they have. Their overall uses the chance to win and adds it all up to figure out all that jazz. KenPom has us winning 493% of the 600% of our OOC games and 1110% of the 1600% of our conference games which is why he has us at 24-7 (11-5).