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BPI (Basketball Power Index)

Started by LaPorteAveApostle, January 21, 2013, 10:34:55 PM

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LaPorteAveApostle

"It is so easy to be proud, harsh, moody and selfish, but we have been created for greater things; why stoop down to things that will spoil the beauty of our hearts?" Bl. Mother Teresa

LaPorteAveApostle

BEST 5 PERFORMANCES THIS YEAR
vs. UWGB 96.4
@ MILW 91.2*
vs. JMU 90.0
vs. UCF 87.4
@ UIC 87.3

*why the asterisk?  ESPN thinks this was a neutral site game.  imagine if we'd been on the road.

also interesante:  UCF just passed UIC, even though both games were a while ago.

WORST 5 PERFORMANCES THIS YEAR

  • @ UCF 5.9
  • vs. WSU 7.7
  • @ ETSU 13.7
  • @ CSU 19.5
  • @ Evansville 21.7
"It is so easy to be proud, harsh, moody and selfish, but we have been created for greater things; why stoop down to things that will spoil the beauty of our hearts?" Bl. Mother Teresa

vu72

Quote from: LaPorteAveApostle on February 02, 2014, 08:27:37 PM
Quote from: historyman on February 02, 2014, 08:23:06 PMDolly Madison University



Not sure I get the point. One of our best performances was losing by 2 on a last second shot to the team  now ranked in the top 12 (St. Louis)
Season Results: CBI/CIT: 2008, 2011, 2014  NIT: 2003,2012, 2016(Championship Game) 2017   NCAA: 1962,1966,1967,1969,1973,1996,1997,1998 (Sweet Sixteen),1999, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2013 and 2015

LaPorteAveApostle

Quote from: vu72 on February 16, 2014, 10:30:01 PMNot sure I get the point. One of our best performances was losing by 2 on a last second shot to the team  now ranked in the top 12 (St. Louis)
That was our best performance in a loss; perhaps in a long time (80.7; our 9th highest score this year).

What exactly don't you get?
"It is so easy to be proud, harsh, moody and selfish, but we have been created for greater things; why stoop down to things that will spoil the beauty of our hearts?" Bl. Mother Teresa

LaPorteAveApostle

TEAM JEKYLL

  • vs. UWGB 96.8
  • @ MILW 89.9*
  • vs. JMU 89.8
  • vs. UCF 86.8
  • @ UIC 87.9

*why the asterisk?  ESPN thinks this was a neutral site game.  imagine if we'd been on the road.

TEAM HYDE

  • @ UCF 5.6
  • vs. WSU 8.7
  • @ ETSU 12.5
  • @ CSU 21.1
  • @ Evansville 22.7

WORST WINS

  • vs. Oakland 59.1
  • vs. YSU 59.2
  • vs. Murray St 59.9
  • vs. Cincinnati Christian 59.5
  • vs. Southeastern 61.2

'BEST' LOSSES

  • vs. Saint Louis 78.2
  • @ OHIO 54.2
  • @ Illinois 41.6
  • @ GB 37.4
  • vs. Detroit 37.4
"It is so easy to be proud, harsh, moody and selfish, but we have been created for greater things; why stoop down to things that will spoil the beauty of our hearts?" Bl. Mother Teresa

LaPorteAveApostle

#30
remember BPI?  It tries to isolate things and give your team a score for their performance on a 0-100 scale.

Best 5 games this year
1)  Murray St 99.0 (that's right...close to a perfect game)
t2) Portland 95.8
t2) @ JMU 95.8
4)  @ EKU 85.8
5)  vs. ETSU 84.6

Worst 5 performances
1)  @ Oakland 13.5
2)  @ Missouri 14.5
3)  vs. New Mexico 16.9
4)  vs. TrinIntl 54.0
5) vs. Goshen 54.8

Yeah, this is a stat that makes you kind of shrug like "duh" most of the time, but it's useful in quantifying how good or bad that performance is.  I'd be interested to see if anyone has posted higher than a 99 this year.  If I could see such a thing.

EDIT:  well that didn't take long.  When #5 KS came to KY and got thumped 72-40, KY posted a 99.9.  (Their team average is 95.1!)
"It is so easy to be proud, harsh, moody and selfish, but we have been created for greater things; why stoop down to things that will spoil the beauty of our hearts?" Bl. Mother Teresa

covufan

Quote from: LaPorteAveApostle on January 13, 2015, 08:14:16 PM
remember BPI?  It tries to isolate things and give your team a score for their performance on a 0-100 scale.

Best 5 games this year
1)  Murray St 99.0 (that's right...close to a perfect game)
t2) Portland 95.8
t2) @ JMU 95.8
4)  @ EKU 85.8
5)  vs. ETSU 84.6

Worst 5 performances
1)  @ Oakland 13.5
2)  @ Missouri 14.5
3)  vs. New Mexico 16.9
4)  vs. TrinIntl 54.0
5) vs. Goshen 54.8

Yeah, this is a stat that makes you kind of shrug like "duh" most of the time, but it's useful in quantifying how good or bad that performance is.  I'd be interested to see if anyone has posted higher than a 99 this year.  If I could see such a thing.

EDIT:  well that didn't take long.  When #5 KS came to KY and got thumped 72-40, KY posted a 99.9.  (Their team average is 95.1!)
In addition, Oakland, Missouri and New Mexico performed at (or very near) their season high in our games.  Tough to beat an opponent when you play so poorly and they play their best.  If only we played a little under average in the Oakland game...

vu72

#32
The Murray State and Portland wins will look better and better as the season progresses. Murray (64) is now ranked higher than us (78) in the Sagarin's. Green Bay is ranked 53rd
Season Results: CBI/CIT: 2008, 2011, 2014  NIT: 2003,2012, 2016(Championship Game) 2017   NCAA: 1962,1966,1967,1969,1973,1996,1997,1998 (Sweet Sixteen),1999, 2000, 2002, 2004, 2013 and 2015

HC

Did Kentucky hit that perfect score in their game with Missouri?  That was a beat down!

Kyle321n

How the Horizon stacks up
   Rank      Team      BPI      SOS   
   66      Green Bay      71.0      48.0   
   95      Valparaiso      64.8      41.7   
   128      Cleveland State      59.5      52.7   
   154      Detroit      54.6      51.5   
   164      Wright State      53.3      50.1   
   220      Oakland      45.0      57.7   
   255      Youngstown St      40.9      41.5   
   302      Milwaukee      32.8      48.9   
   303      UIC      32.7      46.7   

Notable teams on our schedule:
82   Murray State: 67.7
96   New Mexico   : 64.7
127   Portland: 59.6
132   E Kentucky: 58.9   
157   Missouri: 54.4   
Inane Tweeter, Valpo Season Ticket holder, Beer Enjoyer

LaPorteAveApostle

Quote from: HC on January 14, 2015, 02:03:10 PM
Did Kentucky hit that perfect score in their game with Missouri?  That was a beat down!
I doubt it because quality of opponent.  Kansas (at #5) was much tougher. I'll look...

A measly 97.1...but impressive because Mizzou only at 54.1 while KS at 87.1.
"It is so easy to be proud, harsh, moody and selfish, but we have been created for greater things; why stoop down to things that will spoil the beauty of our hearts?" Bl. Mother Teresa

vu84v2

BPI is an odd measure. I would argue, from a statistical perspective, that it places too much emphasis on a very weak performance when a team has generally been good (such as Valpo) as well as the reverse.  This is because (I think) that they are simply averaging together each game BPI for the total BPI.  It would be better to "winsorize" the measure so that extremely good or extremely bad performances do not overweight the measure. The one measure from the BPI that I really do like, though it would be better with the aforementioned correction, is the variance of performance measure.  Valparaiso's varance rank is 92 which is not particularly good and reflects some the wide mix of performances.  Green Bay, interestingly enough, has a variance rank of 53 which is clearly an indicator that they are an inconsistent team.

LaPorteAveApostle

follow me down memory lane...

(a year ago this list was here:  http://www.valpofanzone.com/forum/index.php?topic=1182.msg40221;topicseen#msg40221)

10 Best performances of the Bryce Drew era.
1) 2014-15 vs. Murray St 99.0
2) 2011-12 @ Cleveland St 97.8
3) 2012-13 @ Green Bay 96.6
4) 2014-15 @ James Madison 96.3
5) 2012-13 vs. EKU 96.1
6) 2013-14 vs. Green Bay 95.7
7) 2011-12 vs. Butler (tourn) 94.7
8) 2012-13 vs. UIC 94.6
9) 2014-15 vs. Portland 94.6
10) 2011-12 vs. Duquesne 93.9

10 Worst
1) 2011-12 @ Wright St 5.6
2) 2011-12 @ YSU 8.1
3) 2013-14 @ UCF 8.6
4) 2013-14 vs. Wright St. 8.9
5) 2013-14 vs. Milwaukee (tourn) 9.3
6) 2011-12 @ IPFW 10.0
7) 2011-12 @ Green Bay 10.2
8) 2014-15 @ Mizzou 13.9
9) 2012-13 vs. Loyola 15.2
10) 2014-15 @ Oakland 15.3
"It is so easy to be proud, harsh, moody and selfish, but we have been created for greater things; why stoop down to things that will spoil the beauty of our hearts?" Bl. Mother Teresa