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Question 2025-26 Over-Under Contest where the points don't matter

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(@tjjvalpo)
Posts: 136
Freshman
 

@talksalot - I've waiting patiently for update on how we are all doing. Half-way through the Conference schedule, I couldn't wait any longer-lol. So, I took a look at the results so far

 

1.  Kobe Walker and Kyonte Thomas - Combined 5.5 games with at least 12 minutes played (KT with one game-most likely under)

2.  Rakim Chaney - 11.5 games scoring in Double Digits (currently at 10 games - trending over)

3.  Justis McNair - 6.5 Points per game (currently at 7.3 pts per game -  trending over)

4.  Brody Whitaker - 35% three-point shooting (currently at 37.3% - trending over)

5.  JT Pettigrew - 13.2 Points per game (10.9 pts per game -  trending under)

6.  Mark Brown - 8.5 shots per game (4.8 shots per game - most likely under)

7.  Isiah Barnes - 10.1 Points per game (4.6 pts per game - most likely under)

8.  Owen Dease - 1.2 Three Pointers Made Per game (1.75 three pointers made per game - trending over)

9.  Carter Hopoi - 13.5 Combined Points and Rebounds per game (5.8 combined pts & rebounds per game -most likely under)

10. Shon Tupuola - 7.8 Rebounds per game (6.1 rebounds per game - most likely under)

11. Tucker Tornatta - Combined Assists+Steals+Blocks 3 per game (.8 combined assists+steals+blocks - most likely under)

12.  Sader Servilus - 10.5 minutes in at least 10 conference games, including the first game in ARCH madness (21 possible games) (currently at 3 games greater than 10.5 minutes played in conference games - trending under)

13.  Members of First or Second Team - 0.5 (I got to believe Owen Dease will make the 1st or 2nd team - trending over)

14.  Non Conference Wins 6.5 (6 wins - UNDER)

15.  Valley wins over teams not from Indiana or Illinois   1.5 (currently 1-5 with 2 games with Drake remaining - I will say we will split with Drake and go over)

16.  Better (over) or worse (under) than 8.5th place in the valley (currently 8th place - trending over)

17.  Total Team Wins 15.5 (currently at 10 wins - if you count one game in the tournament, we have to win 6 of the next 11 games, I will say, we will do it - over)

 

So, how do we all fair? At this point I dropped Question 15 and 17, because they are a little harder to pick. I suppose that it could be argued that a couple others may fall in that category (ie. will Owen Dease makes the 1st or 2nd team, but given the number times he has been Newcomer of week, I think he will be on that list) That leaves us, 15 questions:

HumbleOpinion and Bryan F are tied with 11

VU84v2 with 10

Rez & myself with 9

SP37 with 8

Talksalot, Vok22, Regionrat, & JD24 with 7

Rs1207 & Covufan with 6

Another 5 weeks until the final tally's are in


 
Posted : 01/30/2026 8:22 PM
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(@iyellatgames)
Posts: 221
Junior Varsity
 

I chuckled when I seen this, preseason prediction is very fun and exciting but can be comical when looking back on. I guess that’s the fun of it! Thanks @tjjvalpo for giving the update, and keeping track! I always enjoy seeing how preseason speculation materializes. 


 
Posted : 01/31/2026 6:53 AM
(@talksalot)
Posts: 47
Freshman
Topic starter
 

End of the Regular Season...update and what's needed for more "Overs"

1.  Kobe Walker and Kyonte Thomas - Combined 5.5 games with at least 12 minutes played 

Kyonte only had 1 game over 12.  Played 18 minutes against CCSJ.  THERE'S STILL A CHANCE, BUT HE WOULD HAVE TO GET MORE THAN 12 MINUTES IN THE OPENING GAME OF THE NCAA TOURNAMENT... AND IN THE 4 GAMES IN ST. LOUIS.

2.  Rakim Chaney - 11.5 games scoring in Double Digits   WAY over here, 18 games and counting.  great season!       OVER

3.  Justis McNair - 6.5 Points per game  239 points in 30 games, 7.966; even if he plays and does not score in our next 4 games in St. Louis, he would be over 7 points.     OVER

4.  Brody Whitaker - 35% three-point shooting 35 of 82, for 42.7, to fall under he needs to miss his next 18 three point attempts.          OVER

5.  JT Pettigrew - 13.2 Points per game Currently at 375 points in 31 games, 12.1.  Would need to score 48 points in game 1, or 61 points in games 1 and 2,  or 74 points in games 1, 2 and 3; or 87 points in the four games in St. Louis.         THERE'S STILL A CHANCE

6.  Mark Brown - 8.5 shots per game  currently 92 shots in 22 games, 4.18 average.  Gotta say there is no way he's going to take 90 shots in the next game.      UNDER

7.  Isiah Barnes - 10.1 Points per game 3.9, with 110 points in 28 games.  Would need to score 224 points in the 4 games in St Louis.                   UNDER

8.  Owen Dease - 1.2 Three Pointers Made Per game    has 50 in 30 games, even if he fails to make a 3 in four games in St. Louis, he would still be above 1.4          OVER

9.  Carter Hopoi - 13.5 Combined Points and Rebounds per game   3.8 points and 2.5 rebounds for 6.3 combined total.  He would need a combined total of 269 points and rebounds in St Louis.                                                                     UNDER

10. Shon Tupuola - 7.8 Rebounds per game Has 182 rebounds, for an average of 5.9 in 31 games (joining Pettigrew, Chaney and Hopoi as the only players to have seen the court in all 31 games)   Needs 91 rebounds in St Louis for the stat.             UNDER

11. Tucker Tornatta - Combined Assists+Steals+Blocks 3 per game (.88 combined assists+steals+blocks - Currently has 14, 22 and 6 respectively.  Would need a combined total of 45 to reach the stat.                                                                UNDER

12.  Sader Servilus - 10.5 minutes in at least 10 conference games, including the first game in ARCH madness (21 possible games) This is the discussion point.   He currently has 9... with the game At Drake showing "10" in the minutes column.  The stat requires 10.5 minutes.... and this stat did not "round up" in the final book.  So, he's got to get the 10.5 minutes under the Arch.  He's at 20, 14,15 in the last three games, so feeling confident THERE'S STILL A CHANCE.    

13.  Members of First or Second Team - 0.5 Owen's scoring has really slipped in the past 4 games, scoring 3, 6, 7 and 17 in the past 4 games.  Honestly, I have not been tracking the other Valley stars to see how that compares.  Will Valpo get any respect from the other voters?        ?????

14.  Non Conference Wins 6.5 (6 wins - UNDER)

15.  Valley wins over teams not from Indiana or Illinois   1.5   OVER... DRAKE, DRAKE, UNI... 3.   OVER

16.  Better (over) or worse (under) than 8.5th place in the valley T6 or 7th seed... both OVER.   

17.  Total Team Wins 15.5 17 and counting !         OVER

 

Current Standings:

 

Iyellatgames    13  

Humble Opinion 13

Both voted "OVER" on the First/second team question.  Humble Opinion voted "OVER" on Sader getting that 10th game with over 10.5 minutes.   Iyellatgames voted "UNDER"

 

tjjvalpo    11  

SP37     11

tjjvalpo went "OVER" on both of the yet-to-be-determined categories, SP37 went "UNDER" on both.

 

There are 4 of us tied with score of 10

 

Looking forward to everything except the rainy forecast in St. Louis.     


 
Posted : 03/03/2026 8:22 AM
(@iyellatgames)
Posts: 221
Junior Varsity
 

Thanks for tracking this, it's always fun to see how preseason projections play out. 

 


 
Posted : 03/03/2026 9:38 AM
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