thought it might be fun to see how this progresses through the season. Before the SIUE game, Valpo's RPI was 337, SIUE was 49.
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 0-1 (0-0) 49 77-69 W - Scouting ACTUAL: 94-69 - w
11-19 SE Louisiana 0-1 (0-0) 72 83-65 W - Scouting
11-21 Samford 1-1 (0-0) 175 80-69 W - Scouting
11-24 vs Kent St. 1-0 (0-0) 251 74-73 W - Scouting
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 0-1 (0-0) 138 73-78 L - Scouting
11-28 Utah St. 1-1 (0-0) 131 80-68 W - Scouting
12-07 at Purdue 3-0 (0-0) 44 65-89 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 0-1 (0-0) 350 71-77 L - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 2-0 (0-0) 130 65-80 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 0-0 (0-0) 324 73-75 L - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-0 (0-0) 10 76-70 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 1-0 (0-0) 14 73-74 L - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 1-0 (0-0) 278 80-68 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 2-0 (0-0) 31 73-75 L - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 1-0 (0-0) 210 79-70 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 0-0 (0-0) 314 86-61 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 1-1 (0-0) 233 72-76 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 1-0 (0-0) 278 72-76 L - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 1-0 (0-0) 203 79-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 2-0 (0-0) 40 80-69 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 0-1 (0-0) 125 64-76 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 1-0 (0-0) 14 82-66 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 1-0 (0-0) 210 71-78 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 2-0 (0-0) 40 72-77 L - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 0-1 (0-0) 125 72-67 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 1-0 (0-0) 203 71-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 2-0 (0-0) 31 81-67 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 1-1 (0-0) 233 80-68 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 0-0 (0-0) 314 77-69 W - Scouting
that's 16-13 overall, 10-8 in the Valley
UPDATE:
RPI ranking now at 239
Date Opponent Opp. RPI Rk Results
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 0-2 (0-0) 267 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 0-1 (0-0) 106 83-65 W - Scouting
11-21 Samford 1-1 (0-0) 201 80-68 W - Scouting
11-24 vs Kent St. 1-0 (0-0) 288 70-71 L - Scouting
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 0-1 (0-0) 150 74-75 L - Scouting
11-28 Utah St. 2-1 (0-0) 101 81-68 W - Scouting
12-07 at Purdue 3-0 (0-0) 69 68-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 0-2 (0-0) 306 72-77 L - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 2-1 (0-0) 183 67-78 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 0-1 (0-0) 61 72-77 L - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-1 (0-0) 161 78-70 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 1-0 (0-0) 62 75-74 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 2-0 (0-0) 151 81-68 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 2-0 (0-0) 33 74-75 L - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 1-0 (0-0) 237 79-70 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 0-0 (0-0) 334 87-61 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 1-1 (0-0) 168 73-76 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 2-0 (0-0) 151 73-76 L - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 1-0 (0-0) 230 80-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 2-0 (0-0) 58 81-68 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 0-1 (0-0) 140 67-74 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 1-0 (0-0) 62 83-66 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 1-0 (0-0) 237 71-78 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 2-0 (0-0) 58 72-76 L - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 0-1 (0-0) 140 76-65 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 1-0 (0-0) 230 72-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 2-0 (0-0) 33 82-66 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 1-1 (0-0) 168 81-68 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 0-0 (0-0) 334 78-69 W - Scouting
Still 16-13 overall, but now 11-7 in the Valley
In addition to RTPower, I also follow these projection sites:
https://www.masseyratings.com/team.php?t=8361&s=298892
https://www.teamrankings.com/ncaa-basketball/team/valparaiso-crusaders/projections
I don't recall what our projections were prior to SIUE (sigh u eee or see u eee?), but we are improving!
so it's predicting every conference road game is a loss.
Quote from: oklahomamick on November 16, 2017, 01:31:24 PMso it's predicting every conference road game is a loss.
referring back to the original post...
...Except Drake...
Love to pay them back for that streak they own over us on the gridiron.
UPDATE:
Date Opponent Opp. RPI Rk Results
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-2 (0-0) 75 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 0-3 (0-0) 237 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 1-3 (0-0) 169 81-67 W - Scouting
11-24 vs Kent St. 2-0 (0-0) 282 71-70 W - Scouting
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-1 (0-0) 140 74-75 L - Scouting
11-28 Utah St. 2-2 (0-0) 217 82-67 W - Scouting
12-07 at Purdue 4-0 (0-0) 13 67-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 1-3 (0-0) 233 73-76 L - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 3-2 (0-0) 130 67-78 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 0-2 (0-0) 294 73-75 L - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-2 (0-0) 63 79-69 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 1-3 (0-0) 181 76-72 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 2-1 (0-0) 225 82-67 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 4-1 (0-0) 67 75-74 W - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 1-0 (0-0) 322 80-69 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 2-1 (0-0) 90 85-63 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 2-1 (0-0) 172 73-76 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 2-1 (0-0) 225 73-75 L - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 3-0 (0-0) 182 80-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 4-0 (0-0) 115 80-69 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 2-2 (0-0) 96 68-74 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 1-3 (0-0) 181 84-64 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 1-0 (0-0) 322 72-77 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 4-0 (0-0) 115 72-77 L - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 2-2 (0-0) 96 76-66 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 3-0 (0-0) 182 72-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 4-1 (0-0) 67 82-66 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 2-1 (0-0) 172 81-68 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 2-1 (0-0) 90 77-71 W - Scouting
18-11 Overall, 12-6 in MVC play
UPDATE:
RPI now sits at 50
Date Opponent Opp. RPI Rk Results
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-2 (0-0) 68 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 1-3 (0-0) 90 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 1-4 (0-0) 159 88-67 W
11-24 vs Kent St. 2-1 (0-0) 335 72-69 W - Scouting
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-1 (0-0) 272 74-75 L - Scouting
11-28 Utah St. 2-3 (0-0) 180 82-67 W - Scouting
12-07 at Purdue 4-0 (0-0) 18 68-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 1-3 (0-0) 231 72-76 L - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 3-2 (0-0) 119 67-78 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 0-2 (0-0) 304 73-75 L - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-2 (0-0) 126 78-70 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 1-3 (0-0) 174 76-73 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 3-2 (0-0) 136 81-67 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 4-1 (0-0) 62 74-75 L - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 1-1 (0-0) 152 80-69 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 2-1 (0-0) 87 85-63 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 2-1 (0-0) 163 72-76 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 3-2 (0-0) 136 73-76 L - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 4-0 (0-0) 179 80-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 5-0 (0-0) 66 80-69 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 2-2 (0-0) 116 68-74 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 1-3 (0-0) 174 84-64 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 1-1 (0-0) 152 72-77 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 5-0 (0-0) 66 71-77 L - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 2-2 (0-0) 116 76-66 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 4-0 (0-0) 179 71-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 4-1 (0-0) 62 82-66 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 2-1 (0-0) 163 81-68 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 2-1 (0-0) 87 77-71 W - Scouting
17-12 Overall, 11-7 in MVC play
Interesting thing here: I think most of us looked forward to this Thanksgiving tournament to see what we are made of, etc but it turns out they are two of our worst RPI games on the schedule, as of now.
RPI always starts out weird. Sagarin seems pretty close.
Santa Clara will rise dramatically.
SIUE will plummet.
valpo's rpi ranking is: #69 right behind UWM at 68 and before Illinois at 70.
http://realtimerpi.com/college_Men_basketball_rpi2.html
UPDATE:
RPI: 53 SOS: 202
Date Opponent Opp. RPI Rk Results
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-3 (0-0) 74 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 2-3 (0-0) 98 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 1-5 (0-0) 234 88-67 W
11-24 vs Kent St. 2-2 (0-0) 309 77-67 W
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-2 (0-0) 263 76-75 W - Scouting
11-28 Utah St. 3-3 (0-0) 194 81-67 W - Scouting
12-07 at Purdue 5-2 (0-0) 77 68-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 1-4 (0-0) 295 73-76 L - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 4-2 (0-0) 155 67-78 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 0-3 (0-0) 306 73-75 L - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-2 (0-0) 193 79-69 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 1-3 (0-0) 105 75-73 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 4-2 (0-0) 114 81-68 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 4-1 (0-0) 32 74-75 L - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 1-1 (0-0) 122 80-69 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 2-1 (0-0) 60 85-63 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 4-2 (0-0) 59 72-77 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 4-2 (0-0) 114 73-76 L - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 5-0 (0-0) 152 80-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 5-1 (0-0) 82 80-69 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 2-2 (0-0) 93 68-74 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 1-3 (0-0) 105 84-64 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 1-1 (0-0) 122 72-77 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 5-1 (0-0) 82 72-77 L - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 2-2 (0-0) 93 76-66 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 5-0 (0-0) 152 71-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 4-1 (0-0) 32 82-67 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 4-2 (0-0) 59 80-69 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 2-1 (0-0) 60 77-71 W - Scouting
18-11 Overall, 11-7 in MVC play
UPDATE:
RPI: 73 SOS: 263
Date Opponent Opp. RPI Rk Results
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-4 (0-0) 141 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 3-3 (0-0) 136 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 1-5 (0-0) 237 88-67 W
11-24 vs Kent St. 2-3 (0-0) 275 77-67 W
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-3 (0-0) 248 79-70 W
11-28 Utah St. 4-3 (0-0) 199 82-67 W - Scouting
12-07 at Purdue 5-2 (0-0) 80 68-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 2-4 (0-0) 217 73-76 L - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 4-2 (0-0) 161 67-78 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 0-4 (0-0) 335 74-75 L - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-2 (0-0) 219 78-69 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 1-4 (0-0) 225 76-72 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 4-2 (0-0) 109 81-68 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 5-1 (0-0) 20 74-75 L - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 1-2 (0-0) 179 81-68 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 2-1 (0-0) 67 85-63 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 4-2 (0-0) 57 72-77 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 4-2 (0-0) 109 73-76 L - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 6-0 (0-0) 118 80-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 5-1 (0-0) 78 80-69 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 2-3 (0-0) 129 68-75 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 1-4 (0-0) 225 84-64 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 1-2 (0-0) 179 73-76 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 5-1 (0-0) 78 72-77 L - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 2-3 (0-0) 129 76-66 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 6-0 (0-0) 118 72-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 5-1 (0-0) 20 82-67 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 4-2 (0-0) 57 80-69 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 2-1 (0-0) 67 77-71 W - Scouting
18-11 Overall, 11-7 in MVC play
This is cool to follow along, etc. But I really question how it predicts us to lose at a winless Santa Clara but beat UC Riverside.
The minute the OOC schedule was posted in September, we all recognized it as mediocre, at best. We discussed and analyzed it a hundred different ways, and it was still mediocre, at best. Now we're getting early returns about our OOC RPI that confirms - guess what - it's still mediocre, at best. I'm fine with all that and anything else that goes on inside the family.
What I'm not fine with is some guy on the MVC board raining on the parade of a couple of our best posters celebrating the entire conference's early season W-L success by belittling Valpo's OOC SOS and, of course, holding theirs up for display.
For our guys, and you know who you are, don't feel like you need to defend our OOC SOS to anybody outside the family. The fact is the more success we have, the more nervous certain others around the league are going to feel. The last thing they want is to have Valpo waltz in and compete for the conference championship in its first year - or, God forbid, win it. Nit picking our OOC SOS, instead of complimenting our contributions to the conferrence's OOC W-L record, is only Act 1, Scene 1 of many criticisms to come if we continue to win basketball games.
If it is an Illinois State fan complaining about our schedule, just bring up the fact that they just to Charleston Southern.
Quote from: wh on November 26, 2017, 06:15:32 PM
The minute the OOC schedule was posted in September, we all recognized it as mediocre, at best. We discussed and analyzed it a hundred different ways, and it was still mediocre, at best. Now we're getting early returns about our OOC RPI that confirms - guess what - it's still mediocre, at best. I'm fine with all that and anything else that goes on inside the family.
What I'm not fine with is some guy on the MVC board raining on the parade of a couple of our best posters celebrating the entire conference's early season W-L success by belittling Valpo's OOC SOS and, of course, holding theirs up for display.
For our guys, and you know who you are, don't feel like you need to defend our OOC SOS to anybody outside the family. The fact is the more success we have, the more nervous certain others around the league are going to feel. The last thing they want is to have Valpo waltz in and compete for the conference championship in its first year - or, God forbid, win it. Nit picking our OOC SOS, instead of complimenting our contributions to the conferrence's OOC W-L record, is only Act 1, Scene 1 of many criticisms to come if we continue to win basketball games.
They must not be fans of their RPI increasing from our "easy" scheduling.
According to Warren Nolan here are the SOS RPIs
SOS RPI
BRADLEY 23 23
ILLINOIS STATE 50 129
NORTHERN IOWA 99 52
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 115 105
EVANSVILLE 154 73
MISSOURI STATE 167 132
DRAKE 222 135
INDIANA STATE 226 130
VALPO 244 61
LOYOLA 301 91
OR, sorted by RPI
SOS RPI
BRADLEY 23 23
NORTHERN IOWA 99 52
VALPO 244 61
EVANSVILLE 154 73
LOYOLA 301 91
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS 115 105
ILLINOIS STATE 50 129
INDIANA STATE 226 130
MISSOURI STATE 167 132
DRAKE 222 135
UPDATE:
RPI: 54 SOS: 218
Date Opponent Opp. RPI Rk Results
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-4 (0-0) 104 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 3-3 (0-0) 142 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 2-5 (0-0) 250 88-67 W
11-24 vs Kent St. 2-3 (0-0) 273 77-67 W
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-3 (0-0) 189 79-70 W
11-28 Utah St. 4-4 (0-0) 180 72-65 W
12-07 at Purdue 6-2 (0-0) 52 68-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 2-4 (0-0) 205 72-76 L - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 4-3 (0-0) 147 67-77 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 0-4 (0-0) 342 74-75 L - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-3 (0-0) 168 78-69 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 1-4 (0-0) 235 76-72 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 5-2 (0-0) 132 81-68 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 5-1 (0-0) 41 74-75 L - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 1-2 (0-0) 166 81-68 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 3-1 (0-0) 105 85-63 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 4-2 (0-0) 51 72-77 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 5-2 (0-0) 132 73-76 L - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 6-1 (0-0) 94 80-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 5-1 (0-0) 73 80-69 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 2-3 (0-0) 111 68-74 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 1-4 (0-0) 235 84-64 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 1-2 (0-0) 166 72-76 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 5-1 (0-0) 73 72-77 L - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 2-3 (0-0) 111 76-66 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 6-1 (0-0) 94 72-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 5-1 (0-0) 41 82-66 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 4-2 (0-0) 51 80-68 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 3-1 (0-0) 105 77-71 W - Scouting
18-11 Overall, 11-7 in MVC play
Sagarin after yesterday: MVC teams plus a few that might be of random interest
9 - Purdue (6-2)
58 - Boise State (5-1) - for Lexus
61 - Butler (5-2)
63 - UNI (4-2)
66 - Northwestern (4-3)
72 - Valpo (6-0)
79 - Vandy (3-4)
92 - Mo State (5-2)
103 - Belmont (4-3)
107 - Loyola (6-1)
111 - NKU (3-2)
114 - IL State (2-3)
122 - Murray (2-1)
138 - E'Ville (5-1)
142 - Oakland (3-3)
146 - Bradley (5-1)
158 - Ball State (2-4)
162 - SIU (1-2)
169 - UWM (3-1)
183 - IN State (1-4)
209 - Drake (3-1)
MVC High: UNI 63, Low: Drake 209
MVC Mean - 128.6
MVC Median - 126
The HL by comparison
Hi:NKU 111, Low: YSU 325
Mean - 224
Median - 235
something happened in the past 24 hours.... I'm guessing the RealTimeRPI folks must be Russian hackers who want to influence our December Polling... they are going 5-2.
Date Opponent Opp. RPI Rk Results
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-5 (0-0) 159 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 3-3 (0-0) 123 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 2-5 (0-0) 245 88-67 W
11-24 vs Kent St. 3-3 (0-0) 272 77-67 W
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-4 (0-0) 232 79-70 W
11-28 Utah St. 4-4 (0-0) 178 72-65 W
12-07 at Purdue 6-2 (0-0) 44 69-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 2-4 (0-0) 202 76-75 W - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 4-3 (0-0) 119 73-79 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 1-4 (0-0) 346 78-74 W - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-4 (0-0) 225 81-70 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 2-4 (0-0) 206 79-73 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 5-2 (0-0) 131 84-68 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 5-1 (0-0) 42 75-77 L - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 2-2 (0-0) 112 83-69 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 3-2 (0-0) 184 89-63 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 5-2 (0-0) 24 73-79 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 5-2 (0-0) 131 77-76 W - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 6-1 (0-0) 97 82-69 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 5-2 (0-0) 146 84-68 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 2-4 (0-0) 92 75-79 L - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 2-4 (0-0) 206 88-65 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 2-2 (0-0) 112 76-77 L - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 5-2 (0-0) 146 78-77 W - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 2-4 (0-0) 92 83-71 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 6-1 (0-0) 97 74-77 L - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 5-1 (0-0) 42 85-69 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 5-2 (0-0) 24 83-71 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 3-2 (0-0) 184 82-72 W - Scouting
Current Record: 6-0 (0-0)
GAMER Projected Record: 22-7 (13-5)
The 7 losses, are by 18 to Purdue... and by a total of 22 points for the other 6 losses. I'm feeling the love.
Another update:
RealTimeRPI now projects a 26-3 season with losses at Purdue, Northwestern, and Northern Iowa. That would have to consider at large discussion, you would think.
Obviously that may not be realistic, but hey it's fun to look at!
Quote from: valpo4life on December 06, 2017, 09:36:20 AM
Another update:
RealTimeRPI now projects a 26-3 season with losses at Purdue, Northwestern, and Northern Iowa. That would have to consider at large discussion, you would think.
Obviously that may not be realistic, but hey it's fun to look at!
Per RPIForecast.com, a 26-3 record would yield an RPI of 15. When talking about an at-large bid, a 4th loss and an unknown number of wins in the MVC Tournament have to also be factored in.
These records would all project an RPI under 30:
W/L RPI Chance
28-1 13.0 0.01%
27-2 12.5 0.11%
26-3 14.9 0.46%25-4 18.4 1.37%
24-5 23.1 4.09%
23-6 29.1 8.81
http://www.rpiforecast.com/teams/Valparaiso.html
Here's the full list of the 26-3 season... just fun to look at...
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-6 (0-0) 194 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 3-3 (0-0) 132 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 2-7 (0-0) 253 88-67 W
11-24 vs Kent St. 4-3 (0-0) 264 77-67 W
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-4 (0-0) 219 79-70 W
11-28 Utah St. 4-5 (0-0) 173 72-65 W
12-07 at Purdue 8-2 (2-0) 29 67-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 4-4 (0-0) 134 80-78 W - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 5-4 (1-1) 128 74-82 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 2-4 (0-0) 342 82-74 W - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-6 (0-0) 295 86-67 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 2-4 (0-0) 172 83-73 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 7-2 (0-0) 60 88-71 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 6-2 (0-0) 103 81-76 W - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 3-2 (0-0) 161 89-69 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 3-3 (0-0) 180 88-57 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 5-2 (0-0) 30 79-81 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 7-2 (0-0) 60 80-79 W - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 7-1 (0-0) 93 88-71 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 6-2 (0-0) 102 88-70 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 3-4 (0-0) 94 83-82 W - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 2-4 (0-0) 172 86-60 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 3-2 (0-0) 161 80-77 W - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 6-2 (0-0) 102 80-78 W - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 3-4 (0-0) 94 86-69 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 7-1 (0-0) 93 80-79 W - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 6-2 (0-0) 103 89-68 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 5-2 (0-0) 30 87-72 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 3-3 (0-0) 180 85-70 W - Scouting
Current Record: 6-0 (0-0)
GAMER Projected Record: 26-3 (17-1)
They predict Duke at 30-1... and they predict Purdue will... WIN OUT... 29-2... no more losses and a perfect big-10 season.
I wonder what they are putting in their Kool-Aid?
Quote from: talksalot on December 06, 2017, 05:06:50 PM
Here's the full list of the 26-3 season... just fun to look at...
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 1-6 (0-0) 194 94-69 W
11-19 SE Louisiana 3-3 (0-0) 132 83-50 W
11-21 Samford 2-7 (0-0) 253 88-67 W
11-24 vs Kent St. 4-3 (0-0) 264 77-67 W
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 1-4 (0-0) 219 79-70 W
11-28 Utah St. 4-5 (0-0) 173 72-65 W
12-07 at Purdue 8-2 (2-0) 29 67-87 L - Scouting
12-09 at Ball St. 4-4 (0-0) 134 80-78 W - Scouting
12-14 at Northwestern 5-4 (1-1) 128 74-82 L - Scouting
12-18 at Santa Clara 2-4 (0-0) 342 82-74 W - Scouting
12-20 at UC Riverside 1-6 (0-0) 295 86-67 W - Scouting
12-28 at Indiana St. 2-4 (0-0) 172 83-73 W - Scouting
12-31 Missouri St. 7-2 (0-0) 60 88-71 W - Scouting
01-03 at Bradley 6-2 (0-0) 103 81-76 W - Scouting
01-06 Southern Ill. 3-2 (0-0) 161 89-69 W - Scouting
01-10 Drake 3-3 (0-0) 180 88-57 W - Scouting
01-13 at Northern Iowa 5-2 (0-0) 30 79-81 L - Scouting
01-17 at Missouri St. 7-2 (0-0) 60 80-79 W - Scouting
01-21 Loyola Chicago 7-1 (0-0) 93 88-71 W - Scouting
01-24 Evansville 6-2 (0-0) 102 88-70 W - Scouting
01-27 at Illinois St. 3-4 (0-0) 94 83-82 W - Scouting
01-31 Indiana St. 2-4 (0-0) 172 86-60 W - Scouting
02-03 at Southern Ill. 3-2 (0-0) 161 80-77 W - Scouting
02-07 at Evansville 6-2 (0-0) 102 80-78 W - Scouting
02-11 Illinois St. 3-4 (0-0) 94 86-69 W - Scouting
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 7-1 (0-0) 93 80-79 W - Scouting
02-17 Bradley 6-2 (0-0) 103 89-68 W - Scouting
02-20 Northern Iowa 5-2 (0-0) 30 87-72 W - Scouting
02-24 at Drake 3-3 (0-0) 180 85-70 W - Scouting
Current Record: 6-0 (0-0)
GAMER Projected Record: 26-3 (17-1)
They predict Duke at 30-1... and they predict Purdue will... WIN OUT... 29-2... no more losses and a perfect big-10 season.
I wonder what they are putting in their Kool-Aid?
So there is a chance at 26-3?
Any projection system that predicts you'll go 2-0 when it gives you a 51% chance to win each of two games should not be tracked. Period. End of story.
SO...how well did the pre-season RPI predictor work?
GAME PREDICTION SCORE W/L RESULT
11-15 at SIU Edwardsville 77-69 W - Scouting 94-69 W RIGHT
11-19 SE Louisiana 83-65 W - Scouting 83-50 W RIGHT
11-21 Samford 80-69 W - Scouting 88-67 W RIGHT
11-24 vs Kent St. 74-73 W - Scouting 77-67 W RIGHT
11-25 vs N.C. Wilmington 73-78 L - Scouting 79-70 W WRONG
11-28 Utah St. 80-68 W - Scouting 72-65 W RIGHT
12-07 at Purdue 65-89 L - Scouting 50-80 L RIGHT
12-09 at Ball St. 71-77 L - Scouting 70-71 L RIGHT
12-14 at Northwestern 65-80 L - Scouting 50-84 L RIGHT
12-18 at Santa Clara 73-75 L - Scouting 76-68 W WRONG
12-20 at UC Riverside 76-70 W - Scouting 60-73 L WRONG
12-28 at Indiana St. 73-74 L - Scouting 64-73 L RIGHT
12-31 Missouri St. 80-68 W - Scouting 50-67 L WRONG
01-03 at Bradley 73-75 L - Scouting 71-80 L RIGHT
01-06 Southern Ill. 79-70 W - Scouting 83-72 W RIGHT
01-10 Drake 86-61 W - Scouting 77-60 W RIGHT
01-13 at Northern Iowa 72-76 L - Scouting 76-81 L RIGHT
01-17 at Missouri St. 72-76 L - Scouting 57-64 L RIGHT
01-21 Loyola Chicago 79-69 W - Scouting 54-70 L WRONG
01-24 Evansville 80-69 W - Scouting 65-75 L WRONG
01-27 at Illinois St. 64-76 L - Scouting 65-76 L RIGHT
01-31 Indiana St. 82-66 W - Scouting 69-63 W RIGHT
02-03 at Southern Ill. 71-78 L - Scouting 59-65 L RIGHT
02-07 at Evansville 72-77 L - Scouting 59-63 L RIGHT
02-11 Illinois St. 72-67 W - Scouting 74-58 W RIGHT
02-14 at Loyola Chicago 71-77 L - Scouting 71-80 L RIGHT
02-17 Bradley 81-67 W - Scouting 77-64 W RIGHT
02-20 Northern Iowa 80-68 W - Scouting 63-68 L WRONG
02-24 at Drake 77-69 W - Scouting 69-64 W RIGHT
The Computer got 7 games wrong...
The computer expected 5 more wins and 2 more losses
We were supposed to beat:
UCRIVERSIDE
MISSOURI STATE AT HOME
LOYOLA AT HOME
EVANSVILLE AT HOME
NORTHERN IOWA AT HOME
and we were supposed to lose to Santa Clara NC Wilmington but we won.