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Valpo Sports => Valpo Basketball => Topic started by: Kyle321n on February 29, 2016, 12:09:08 PM

Title: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Kyle321n on February 29, 2016, 12:09:08 PM
Why not have a place to chat about the 4 games our compatriots are playing Saturday?

KenPom has the breakdown like this: (Bold is your projected winner, listed is score prediction and win probability)
Wright St. vs Illinois Chicago (71-60, 87%)
Green Bay vs Cleveland St (76-66, 82%)
Milwaukee vs Northern Kentucky (76-69, 77%)
Detroit vs Youngstown St (93-86, 73%)


So who is going to be left playing Sunday?
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: HC on February 29, 2016, 12:27:25 PM
I'll go with a UIC upset - because why not
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: ValpoHoops on February 29, 2016, 12:41:10 PM
One random thought from this morning...

If the seeds hold (which also means a Valpo title), we would pick up two additional neutral court wins, moving our D1 record to 26-5.

Those two wins would come against:
Green Bay (19-12 vs D1*) and
Oakland (22-10 vs D1*)
* - Includes tournament wins in order to play a game against Valpo

If we win, these two would benefit our RPI numbers much more than if there were some upsets. That said, I can think of a couple teams I wouldn't mind seeing lose early...
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: covufan on February 29, 2016, 01:04:09 PM
I don't foresee any upsets on Saturday. 

What will be the announced attendance.  Since all games are one session, will they use the total number of sold/given tickets, or try to estimate the number of attendees for each game?  My guess - less than 500, except for the night game which has Detroit and I'm guessing 1500.  The first game on Sunday will have less than 500, with the Detroit game getting about 1200.  The Monday session will be about 2500.  The Tuesday session, if Valpo plays Oakland, will get 3500.

Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Kyle321n on February 29, 2016, 02:13:33 PM
Quote from: covufan on February 29, 2016, 01:04:09 PM
I don't foresee any upsets on Saturday. 

What will be the announced attendance.  Since all games are one session, will they use the total number of sold/given tickets, or try to estimate the number of attendees for each game?  My guess - less than 500, except for the night game which has Detroit and I'm guessing 1500.  The first game on Sunday will have less than 500, with the Detroit game getting about 1200.  The Monday session will be about 2500.  The Tuesday session, if Valpo plays Oakland, will get 3500.

They'll do the same thing they did for the campus games in the second round last season, announce the total tickets sold for the session. Then for the second and third round they'll do the same thing with the final game actually giving you an idea what the attendance is. If they sell less than 15,000 tickets total than this will be a utter failure. Last season, with 2 less teams in the tournament and 6 games reporting attendance (Championship, Semifinal #2, two quarter finals and two first round games on campus) they had a total of 15,669. If you take only the games at Valpo, you get 12,333 in 4 games. It helped that UIC played twice at Valpo, but the second game they played they didn't announce an attendance since a single ticket bought you two games.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: bbtds on February 29, 2016, 10:13:14 PM
Quote from: HC on February 29, 2016, 12:27:25 PM
I'll go with a UIC upset - because why not

Because the Flames went 0-9 on the road in conference. It may be a "neutral" site game but it's still a game that UIC must travel to and that in itself has done in the Flames on recent trips.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: vu84v2 on February 29, 2016, 10:44:31 PM
Youngstown State over Detroit. YSU has had some good shooting games and Detroit's coach is very skilled at making the necessary adjustments to lose.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: HC on March 01, 2016, 07:46:38 AM
I can't imagine their record away from home was much better last year when they beat Oakland in the tournament.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Kyle321n on March 01, 2016, 08:51:46 AM
Quote from: HC on March 01, 2016, 07:46:38 AM
I can't imagine their record away from home was much better last year when they beat Oakland in the tournament.

Half of their conference wins last season was on the road.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: HC on March 01, 2016, 09:56:49 AM
which probably isn't a whole lot better then this year
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Kyle321n on March 01, 2016, 10:19:41 AM
I'd say 2>0 but then again I'm not a math savant.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: HC on March 01, 2016, 10:23:36 AM
You've proven that several times in other posts, zing! 

Yes 2>0, they were also very close to winning on the road a few times this year. Regardless, I'm not sure why a few of you are getting worked up over me picking an upset?  :crazy:
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Kyle321n on March 01, 2016, 10:53:08 AM
Quote from: HC on March 01, 2016, 10:23:36 AM
You've proven that several times in other posts, zing! 

Yes 2>0, they were also very close to winning on the road a few times this year. Regardless, I'm not sure why a few of you are getting worked up over me picking an upset?  :crazy:

Haha, I'm not predicting an upset in the first round. I think the second round is where we get some toss up. I was just pointing out that UIC is indeed worse than last year
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: agibson on March 02, 2016, 10:45:58 AM
RPI Forecast has their conference tournament predictions up.

They make Valpo 57% favorites to win the HL tournament, with a better-than-I-expected expected RPI of 28 if they win. 4:1, 80%, to survive the first round (expected RPI of 57 if we lose, but it'll of course depend on opponent), and then 5:2 favorites in the final if we make it that far.

Oakland's next with a 30% chance to win it all (expected RPI of 90, but probably weird statistics, with a better probability but worse RPI if they beat someone-not-named-Valpo). 46% chance of their losing in the semi (expected RPI 109), 24% chance to lose their first game.

Milwaukee's best of the rest with 5.6% chance to win it all. It's hard to win four in a row. Our current win streak is 5, Wright State's next at 3.

There's some tension in various places he displays the probabilities, but in at least one location he puts UIC and NKY at 0.00% each.



Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: vu72 on March 02, 2016, 04:02:51 PM
I just watched Basketball Preview on the Valpo Athletics site.  So here's a nitpicky question:  Does this "broadcast" go out on other radio or tv shows?  The reason I ask this is that Todd says "this is Todd Ickow"  like it was going out over the radio, versus "I'm Todd Ickow" as you would do on a tv broadcast.  Always wondered about that, obviously, way too much time on my hands!   :crazy:
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: HailVU2014 on March 03, 2016, 08:38:37 PM
For the first round games on our side, my personal preference is that we need chalk from the Wisconsin schools. A Green Bay-Milwaukee quarterfinal will only add to the wear and tear before the semi final against us, as it's a rivalry game rubber match for them. If one of the Wisconsin schools is upset in the first round, Valpo may get a "less tired" Wisconsin school, although a third game in three days is still a lot... Also, after just playing and beating both Wisconsin schools, I am sure that Bryce has made the team memorize the game tape for last weekend and we will be ready to exploit every weakness possible and fully prepare for the first game on Monday.

For the other half of the bracket, I just do not think that Wright State will have the depth to make it to play Oakland and if they do make it to the semi, they will be all but exhausted. However, I do think that if Detroit is there in the semi to play Oakland, it would be a tough rivalry game for Oakland to play. I really don't believe that Oakland will lose their semi, but if we are looking for the most vulnerable Oakland team in the final, then Detroit getting to the semi in the easiest way possible would be ideal so that they can play Oakland "less tired." Therefore, I am not opposed to a UIC upset, but that would only make our two losses to Wright State worse than what they are...

Speaking honestly though, I just really don't see any of the 3-10 or 6-7 winners giving Oakland any grief. And given our double bye advantage, I also think that we sit pretty on our side. But who knows? It's why we play the games, so we might as well play the best teams that we are dealt and prove we can win on any stage in this league. There's my :twocents:
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: hailcrusaders on March 05, 2016, 01:44:57 PM
The start of the UWM-NKU game is being delayed by a broken rim. The JLA, being a hockey facility, probably doesn't have any spare backboards, so now they're expecting a 3:15 CST tip. That's an hour and a half delay. What a wonderful start to the tournament.

I stand corrected, it looks like it will be 2:15 CST. UW-Milwaukee's twitter account said 4:15 eastern, but I'm seeing otherwise.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 01:53:21 PM
GB over CSU 65-53 in the first game. It was close with 6 minutes to go and then GB pulled away. I saw a graphic at the 6 minute to go mark that said CSU had committed 20 turnovers to that point.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: hailcrusaders on March 05, 2016, 02:12:06 PM
Quote from: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 01:53:21 PMGB over CSU 65-53 in the first game. It was close with 6 minutes to go and then GB pulled away. I saw a graphic at the 6 minute to go mark that said CSU had committed 20 turnovers to that point.

CSU finished with 27 turnovers
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 02:16:28 PM
Quote from: hailcrusaders on March 05, 2016, 02:12:06 PM
Quote from: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 01:53:21 PMGB over CSU 65-53 in the first game. It was close with 6 minutes to go and then GB pulled away. I saw a graphic at the 6 minute to go mark that said CSU had committed 20 turnovers to that point.

CSU finished with 27 turnovers

:o
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: agibson on March 05, 2016, 05:39:13 PM
Quote from: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 02:16:28 PM
Quote from: hailcrusaders on March 05, 2016, 02:12:06 PM
Quote from: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 01:53:21 PMGB over CSU 65-53 in the first game. It was close with 6 minutes to go and then GB pulled away. I saw a graphic at the 6 minute to go mark that said CSU had committed 20 turnovers to that point.

CSU finished with 27 turnovers

:o

That's what happens, perhaps, when you play the only team in the conference with two members of the all-defensive team.

To be fair, they do record a lot of steals. Somebody, Love I assume, set the HL tournament record for steals in a game.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: a3uge on March 05, 2016, 06:06:24 PM


Quote from: agibson on March 05, 2016, 05:39:13 PM
Quote from: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 02:16:28 PM
Quote from: hailcrusaders on March 05, 2016, 02:12:06 PM
Quote from: VULB#62 on March 05, 2016, 01:53:21 PMGB over CSU 65-53 in the first game. It was close with 6 minutes to go and then GB pulled away. I saw a graphic at the 6 minute to go mark that said CSU had committed 20 turnovers to that point.

CSU finished with 27 turnovers

:o

That's what happens, perhaps, when you play the only team in the conference with two members of the all-defensive team.

To be fair, they do record a lot of steals. Somebody, Love I assume, set the HL tournament record for steals in a game.

RP40 - lots of steals... Also, lots of easy buckets if you actually have a point guard.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: HC on March 05, 2016, 06:34:35 PM
UIC is letting me down  :'( :o
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: oklahomamick on March 06, 2016, 09:30:53 AM
Uwm was hot from the arch.  Over 45%.  They put 4 game stretch together in 2014 with hot shooting.  This time there is no rest between games.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: a3uge on March 06, 2016, 12:43:53 PM
These refs are letting pretty much everything go in this UWM Green Bay game.

Can't wait to eliminate Green Bay again!
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: VULB#62 on March 06, 2016, 12:45:04 PM
Not so today. Down by 9 with 1:07 left in the first. They are shooting 25%.

At the half 25-31. UWM shooting 24%
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: hailcrusaders on March 06, 2016, 01:00:28 PM
Anyone have any preference of opponent for tomorrow? Both can play with us.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: justducky on March 06, 2016, 01:07:56 PM
Quote from: hailcrusaders on March 06, 2016, 01:00:28 PMAnyone have any preference of opponent for tomorrow? Both can play with us.
Green Bay but I have no logical explanation as to why. Both could beat us.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: agibson on March 06, 2016, 01:19:06 PM
I think I'd prefer to play Green Bay. Some of it is Tiby. Some of it is the OT game, maybe. Some of it is hoping that RP40 will prove hard to execute three days in a row.

GB's RPI's a bit better, and their computer numbers not as good.

And, yes, a repeat of the recent tournament games against them at the ARC would be OK.

When I turned it on at the half, GB had a lead. Now they've been going back and forth with the lead. A string of threes each way for a while.

Both teams that could reasonably play in the CIT or some place.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: a3uge on March 06, 2016, 01:41:55 PM
Sloppy game - think it might have something to do with both teams playing back to back.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: VULB#62 on March 06, 2016, 02:02:33 PM
It'll be back to back to back tomorrow.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: agibson on March 06, 2016, 02:02:43 PM
Quote from: agibson on March 06, 2016, 01:19:06 PMI think I'd prefer to play Green Bay. Some of it is Tiby. Some of it is the OT game, maybe. Some of it is hoping that RP40 will prove hard to execute three days in a row.

Though, I'll confess, I'd somehow forgotten all about the rebounding at Green Bay. That was pretty painful to watch. But, we'll find a way to right the ship.

I enjoyed the Wright State games - a team that can defend a bit, and rebound. Somehow, the Green Bay game somewhat less so.

Hopefully a good one, with our guys rebounding tough and boxing out tough, for the win. Or, I'd settle for an easy win...
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: hailcrusaders on March 06, 2016, 02:02:58 PM
We will indeed get the champions from old Green Bay.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: agibson on March 06, 2016, 05:16:32 PM
This guy really is some other kind of basketball coach

[tweet]706594505219117057[/tweet]
[tweet]706618512165478400[/tweet]
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: oklahomamick on March 06, 2016, 06:06:21 PM
Kampe has a great sense of humor and can laugh at himself.  I got to meet and talk with him during the intermission. 
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: bbtds on March 06, 2016, 07:34:27 PM
Quote from: oklahomamick on March 06, 2016, 06:06:21 PM
Kampe has a great sense of humor and can laugh at himself.  I got to meet and talk with him during the intermission. 

So he is not the monster that has a stroke almost every game that so many on here think he is?

And not the egotistical nightmare that many on here have painted him to be.

Amazing!
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: frontrowfan on March 06, 2016, 07:43:49 PM
Quote from: bbtds on March 06, 2016, 07:34:27 PM
Quote from: oklahomamick on March 06, 2016, 06:06:21 PM
Kampe has a great sense of humor and can laugh at himself.  I got to meet and talk with him during the intermission. 

So he is not the monster that has a stroke almost every game that so many on here think he is?

And not the egotistical nightmare that many on here have painted him to be.

Amazing!
. I'm sorry but I have to like Kampe, his humor and passion on the floor make for an exciting game.  I also appreciate how kind and generous he is with students. I won't forget the MidCon tournament where Kampe sat with the Valpo student section after Oakland got knocked out
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: a3uge on March 06, 2016, 07:46:41 PM
http://thecatchandshoot.com/watch-donlon-criticizes-horizon-league-media-following-tournament-win/

Can't wait for the Horizon to get rid of the double byes as well. 15 seed or bust!
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: frontrowfan on March 06, 2016, 07:57:37 PM
Quote from: a3uge on March 06, 2016, 07:46:41 PM
http://thecatchandshoot.com/watch-donlon-criticizes-horizon-league-media-following-tournament-win/ (http://thecatchandshoot.com/watch-donlon-criticizes-horizon-league-media-following-tournament-win/)

Can't wait for the Horizon to get rid of the double byes as well. 15 seed or bust!
watched the video clip of Donlon's rant a couple of times now just to process it all.  While I think he has at least two legitimate gripes,  he did make a back handed stab at Valpo that I didn't appreciate.  I'm just gonna put this out there tho....Paris Bass first team???? He has mad skills but only played 22 regular season games due to suspensions, has not started several games due to disciplinary reasons etc.  No wonder Donlon questions why JT Yoho wasn't a first or second team selection.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Valpo89 on March 06, 2016, 08:06:24 PM
It's nice to hear a coach speak his mind and not be so "by the book."
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: wh on March 06, 2016, 09:33:49 PM
I'm ok with Donlon complaining about the all-conference selections.  It is a SUBJECTIVE process, and it does appear that his guys were shortchanged.  I'm not ok with his whining about the tournament format.  For better or worse, like it or not, the double-bye format is an OBJECTIVE process that has been in place for the past 13 or 14 seasons.  Every team operates by the same set of rules and has exactly the same opportunity to earn one of the top 2 seeds.  The fact that they didn't earn one of the top two seeds is totally on them.  Yeah, it's impressive that they were the only team in the league to beat Valpo, and did it twice no less, but tournament seeding is based on your entire body of work in conference play, not 2 games. 

Of course, Donlon knows this as well as any of us.  So why was he up there displaying that pouty lower lip and acting like a petulant child crying "no fair, no fair?"  No doubt he is lobbying for a format change for next season.  I think most people would agree that he is one of the top X&O's coaches in the league.  At the same time, he is nowhere near the recruiter that Drew and Kampe are, or for that matter nowhere near the recruiter Brad Brownell was.  We know it; he knows it.  So, instead he's lobbying to do anything he can to minimize the importance of an 18-game regular season and the benefits it provides to the top teams.  I'm sure if he had his druthers, tournament match-ups would be drawn out of a hat.  The bottom line is that Billy Donlon is nothing more than a sore loser that should be ignored. If I were his AD, I would call him in the office first chance I get and tell him that my coaches don't whine about the process in front of cameras and microphones.  They out work, out coach and out recruit the competition and earn their way to the top. And they represent Wright State University with class and dignity along the way.  Discussion over. 

Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: bbtds on March 06, 2016, 09:48:57 PM
Quote from: wh on March 06, 2016, 09:33:49 PMtell him that my coaches don't whine about the process in front of cameras and microphones.  They out work, out coach and out recruit the competition and earn their way to the top. And they represent Wright State University with class and dignity along the way.  Discussion over. 

I picture Tom Hanks as Forrest Gump saying "Coach Donlon, life is like a box of chocolates........."
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: SanityLost17 on March 06, 2016, 10:13:27 PM
Only thing I can think of that would both make Donlon happy and not hurt the HL would be to not let the 10 seed into the tournament and give the 3 seed a single bye.  An argument could be made for not letting the 10 seed in, could it not?
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: a3uge on March 06, 2016, 10:17:01 PM
Quote from: SanityLost17 on March 06, 2016, 10:13:27 PM
Only thing I can think of that would both make Donlon happy and not hurt the HL would be to not let the 10 seed into the tournament and give the 3 seed a single bye.  An argument could be made for not letting the 10 seed in, could it not?
It may have prevented UIC from murdering everyone's RPI even further.

Sent from my XT1095 using Tapatalk

Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: oklahomamick on March 07, 2016, 10:30:16 AM
Donlon will most likely get his wish.  UDM's athletic director announced at a luncheon a couple months ago that the format will change and there will be no double bye. 

Hopefully the coaches will get to vote on different OPTIONS rather than one as in the case for the move. 
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: NativeCheesehead on March 07, 2016, 10:58:04 AM
I don't think the double bye is the problem or all that he was complaining about. The back to back to back seems to be the main issue. But as far as changing the format for this tournament once again, I repeat myself from an earlier thread: Get. Out. Of. This. Conference. (Yes, I realize it's easier said, and with the retention/new contract of a women's basketball coach who is 32-90 heading into the tourney, i'm beginning to think we should worry more about our local leadership than that in the conference office, but I promised myself I would save that rant for after the season.)
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: SanityLost17 on March 07, 2016, 12:07:37 PM
This will be the format next year.   You can take that to the bank!  They are emulating the MVC every step of the way. 
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/tournaments/conference/MVC/mvc-tournament-bracket (http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/tournaments/conference/MVC/mvc-tournament-bracket)
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: VULB#62 on March 07, 2016, 12:10:56 PM
Quote from: oklahomamick on March 07, 2016, 10:30:16 AM
Donlon will most likely get his wish.  UDM's athletic director announced at a luncheon a couple months ago that the format will change and there will be no double bye. 

Hopefully the coaches will get to vote on different OPTIONS rather than one as in the case for the move.


Might they go to the same format that the 10 team WCC uses?  SAME AS MVC except for the off day

OPENING ROUND (Friday)
Game 1 - #8 v. #9
Game 2 - #7 v. #10
[note:  I would have Game 1 be 9 v. 10 and Game 2 be 7 v. 8 to give the #1 seed a better reward for winning the regular season]

QTR FINALS (Saturday)
Game 3 - #3 v. #6
Game 6 - Game 2 winner v. #2
Game 5 - Game 1 winner v. #1
Game 4 - #4 v. #5

Sunday Off

SEMI FiINALS (Monday)
Game 8 - Game 3 winner v. Game 6 winner
Game 7 - Game 5 winner v. Game 6 winner

FINAL (Tuesday)
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Kyle321n on March 07, 2016, 12:11:47 PM
Quote from: SanityLost17 on March 07, 2016, 12:07:37 PM
This will be the format next year.   You can take that to the bank!  They are emulating the MVC every step of the way. 
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/tournaments/conference/MVC/mvc-tournament-bracket (http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/tournaments/conference/MVC/mvc-tournament-bracket)

When do we get 4 private schools, 4 schools in the top 20 academics according to US News, and regularly getting more than 1 NCAA bid?
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: VULB#62 on March 07, 2016, 12:18:22 PM
Better yet be like the WCC -- all private
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: wh on March 07, 2016, 01:01:08 PM
Quote from: Kyle321n on March 07, 2016, 12:11:47 PM
Quote from: SanityLost17 on March 07, 2016, 12:07:37 PM
This will be the format next year.   You can take that to the bank!  They are emulating the MVC every step of the way. 
http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/tournaments/conference/MVC/mvc-tournament-bracket (http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/tournaments/conference/MVC/mvc-tournament-bracket)

When do we get 4 private schools, 4 schools in the top 20 academics according to US News, and regularly getting more than 1 NCAA bid?

Only when everyone stops waiting for some "white horse" program from another conference to ride in and make us a multi-bid league will we become a multi-bid league.  We have met the enemy, and he is us. 
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: NativeCheesehead on March 07, 2016, 01:12:58 PM
You can't make the top seed play three games in three days on a neutral court when you're a one bid league. Yes I realize that's how the ole Mid-Con did it and I hated it then too. Of course, being that's how the old Mid-Con did it should tell you everything you need to know.

Wichita State lost in that format, and though their seeding will be hurt, they're in. It actually works out well for the MVC. Horizon not like that yet, if ever.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: valpo64 on March 07, 2016, 01:25:33 PM
Has anyone seen attendance figures for any of the sessions?  Would love to see how successful the new "Motor City Madness" approach  is doing.  In looking at the sparse crowds at the other conference meets it scares me to think of what is going on at "The Joe".
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: a3uge on March 07, 2016, 01:31:50 PM
Quote from: valpo64 on March 07, 2016, 01:25:33 PM
Has anyone seen attendance figures for any of the sessions?  Would love to see how successful the new "Motor City Madness" approach  is doing.  In looking at the sparse crowds at the other conference meets it scares me to think of what is going on at "The Joe".
Attendance is a red herring. This format will be a success if A) Valpo gets an at-large and two Horizon League teams get in (not likely) or B) Valpo makes the tournament as an at-large.

If the Horizon sends a 15 seed, this format should be regarded as a complete failure in year 1.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: bballraider on March 07, 2016, 01:35:12 PM
Quote from: NativeCheesehead on March 07, 2016, 10:58:04 AM
I don't think the double bye is the problem or all that he was complaining about. The back to back to back seems to be the main issue. But as far as changing the format for this tournament once again, I repeat myself from an earlier thread: Get. Out. Of. This. Conference. (Yes, I realize it's easier said, and with the retention/new contract of a women's basketball coach who is 32-90 heading into the tourney, I'm beginning to think we should worry more about our local leadership than that in the conference office, but I promised myself I would save that rant for after the season.)

As a Wright State Fan, and having heard Donlon speak before about the tourney. He never had a problem with the double bye or even the home court going to the league champion. He liked the regular season being worth something. So my only guess is the back to back to back against a rested team being the problem. If there was a break in there, he would most likely be fine. He has never been happy with the league's scheduling in the regular season either, but that's another story.

So his first rant was to the media and their voting with none of his players being recognized. He was sticking up for his players, which any good coach would do. I think the tournament scheduling rant was just a carry over on that, once his emotions started going.

As far as HL awards, (he was in his own way, claiming do not look entirely at stats, but look how his players matched up each night against their opponent. Wright State is not a team that is going to put up gaudy stats, very similar to Valpo. Both Valpo and Wright State are defensive minded teams, that play good team defense, (Valpo just happens to have a shot blocker to supplement that team defense). They do not need to go toe to toe and try to out score the other team every night to win a game. So the offensive numbers aren't as high. I think he felt the media looked too much at stats. Donlon said winning is a big stat for him, and the most important thing to coaches, so he had 2 Valpo players on his first team along with Felder and Tiby. I'm not sure who the other player on his first team is but I would assume Fouse since he said his 1st team ballot consisted players of the top other 4 teams, since you can't vote for your own players.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Valpower on March 07, 2016, 02:34:40 PM
Quote from: bballraider on March 07, 2016, 01:35:12 PM

As a Wright State Fan, and having heard Donlon speak before about the tourney. He never had a problem with the double bye or even the home court going to the league champion. He liked the regular season being worth something. So my only guess is the back to back to back against a rested team being the problem. If there was a break in there, he would most likely be fine. He has never been happy with the league's scheduling in the regular season either, but that's another story.

So his first rant was to the media and their voting with none of his players being recognized. He was sticking up for his players, which any good coach would do. I think the tournament scheduling rant was just a carry over on that, once his emotions started going.

As far as HL awards, (he was in his own way, claiming do not look entirely at stats, but look how his players matched up each night against their opponent. Wright State is not a team that is going to put up gaudy stats, very similar to Valpo. Both Valpo and Wright State are defensive minded teams, that play good team defense, (Valpo just happens to have a shot blocker to supplement that team defense). They do not need to go toe to toe and try to out score the other team every night to win a game. So the offensive numbers aren't as high. I think he felt the media looked too much at stats. Donlon said winning is a big stat for him, and the most important thing to coaches, so he had 2 Valpo players on his first team along with Felder and Tiby. I'm not sure who the other player on his first team is but I would assume Fouse since he said his 1st team ballot consisted players of the top other 4 teams, since you can't vote for your own players.
Let's face it, the second rant is against the media, too.  The back-to-back scheduling is driven by ESPN and not necessarily what's good for the players, teams, conferences, or fans.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Kyle321n on March 07, 2016, 03:05:20 PM
Quote from: Valpower on March 07, 2016, 02:34:40 PM
Let's face it, the second rant is against the media, too.  The back-to-back scheduling is driven by ESPN and not necessarily what's good for the players, teams, conferences, or fans.

Really the only thing driven by ESPN is the Tuesday championship game. It might have been tight with the end of the season, but you could have had games on Wednesday, Friday, Sunday and Tuesday. You also didn't have to agree to all 4 days of games at the Joe. You could have very well gotten away with first round games on campus sites, which were regularly well attended, and second round, semis and the final game at the Joe. Heck you could have even done Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, Tuesday. There's no reason for them to have 4 games in 4 days. It's stupid and I really hope we don't see some injuries from the fatigue of a 3rd game in as many games to Green Bay or Wright State.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Valpower on March 07, 2016, 03:41:35 PM
Quote from: Kyle321n on March 07, 2016, 03:05:20 PM
Quote from: Valpower on March 07, 2016, 02:34:40 PM
Let's face it, the second rant is against the media, too.  The back-to-back scheduling is driven by ESPN and not necessarily what's good for the players, teams, conferences, or fans.

Really the only thing driven by ESPN is the Tuesday championship game. It might have been tight with the end of the season, but you could have had games on Wednesday, Friday, Sunday and Tuesday. You also didn't have to agree to all 4 days of games at the Joe. You could have very well gotten away with first round games on campus sites, which were regularly well attended, and second round, semis and the final game at the Joe. Heck you could have even done Thursday, Saturday, Sunday, Tuesday. There's no reason for them to have 4 games in 4 days. It's stupid and I really hope we don't see some injuries from the fatigue of a 3rd game in as many games to Green Bay or Wright State.
I'll admit to not being privy to ANY of the inner workings of this deal, but it seems logical that the production costs of an event with minimal down time at a single location are significantly less than one with multiple locations.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: valpo84 on March 07, 2016, 04:33:57 PM
By the way, many teams seek out "preseason" tourneys to play 3 games in 3 days as a way to see how your team responds.  The Ivy League plays back to back nights as part of the conference season to avoid days out of the classroom.   Most of the major conferences have 4 straight days of games.  There are issues with this Tourney and I have been among those ranting about it since they passed it months ago.  But, it is what it is now that we're in March, everyone knew the rules at the start of conference season. It's as simple as win or go home this time of year. UConn a few years ago had to win 5 in 5 days, which propelled them to a #3 seed and a national title. 
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: FWalum on March 07, 2016, 10:27:22 PM
Quote from: bballraider on March 07, 2016, 01:35:12 PMAs far as HL awards, (he was in his own way, claiming do not look entirely at stats, but look how his players matched up each night against their opponent. Wright State is not a team that is going to put up gaudy stats, very similar to Valpo. Both Valpo and Wright State are defensive minded teams, that play good team defense, (Valpo just happens to have a shot blocker to supplement that team defense). They do not need to go toe to toe and try to out score the other team every night to win a game. So the offensive numbers aren't as high. I think he felt the media looked too much at stats. Donlon said winning is a big stat for him, and the most important thing to coaches, so he had 2 Valpo players on his first team along with Felder and Tiby. I'm not sure who the other player on his first team is but I would assume Fouse since he said his 1st team ballot consisted players of the top other 4 teams, since you can't vote for your own players.
I also think that some of the frustration comes from the media voting Paris Bass to the first team.  I agree with Kampe, how can you be first team all-conference when you are suspended and benched several times during the season.  How are you first team when your actions have proven to be selfish and detrimental to your own team.  Ridiculous that the media rewarded him with first team accolades.


Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: StlVUFan on March 08, 2016, 12:06:36 AM
Quote from: FWalum on March 07, 2016, 10:27:22 PMI agree with Kampe, how can you be first team all-conference when you are suspended and benched several times during the season.
I think that was Neal Ruhl who said that on the show.  Maybe Kampe agreed with him, I don't remember.  But there play-by-play guy made a point of it on the show.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: historyman on March 08, 2016, 08:19:43 AM
Do you think Kampe now wishes he hadn't wished to be like Valpo as much as he did? His team seemed to be too much like Valpo last night.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: classof2014 on March 08, 2016, 11:04:26 AM
There is no question Valpo needs to get out of the HL and this new tournament form is one of the worst ideas the HL has had. Chances of Valpo getting an at-large is slim, is there a chance? Yes but a very slim one. The HL is going to get a 15 seed because of the format instead of the 10-13 that Valpo would have most likely received and a decent chance at making a run.

I can't stand when the announces compliment the HL and say it's stronger than ever. Um.... No it's not. Valpo is your prized possession after that it's a bunch of mediocre to bad mid-major teams. There's no question Valpo regressed over the course of the conference season. Playing significantly inferior opponents night-in-night-out only hurts your team not help them.

Valpo needs to join the MVC, I've been saying it for years. There's no question this team would've been among the top MVC teams this season. Perhaps having a bad game at an inopportune time like last night. We wouldn't be talking about the NIT but still the NCAAs and perhaps instead of a 12 or 13 seed they receive a 7, 8, or 9 seed.

Is there a possibility Valpo gets an at-large? Yes. Perhaps Bryce has to sell his soul to the devil for that to occur. As a fan I still hold out hope for that at-large. Realty though says otherwise, they'll be relegated to the tournament where dreams go to die the NIT. Will I watch the NITs? No question. Will I want them to win the tournament? Of course. Will I still be disappointed in the season's outcome? You betcha.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: Vinny on March 08, 2016, 11:52:45 AM
Said it before and I'll say it again - the team has done plenty to raise its profile to the level of the Missouri Valley. Bigger picture, though, the University hasn't done anything to improve the facility situation. The decision makers at the MVC office could not care less about a weight room for a football team that will go its grave in the PFL. That's the only facility enhancement that has taken place since the Missouri Valley last looked into expansion.

This basketball team deserves to be in a conference like the Missouri Valley. Unfortunately the support to push them over the edge just isn't there.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: covufan on March 08, 2016, 12:29:36 PM
Quote from: Vinny on March 08, 2016, 11:52:45 AM
Said it before and I'll say it again - the team has done plenty to raise its profile to the level of the Missouri Valley. Bigger picture, though, the University hasn't done anything to improve the facility situation. The decision makers at the MVC office could not care less about a weight room for a football team that will go its grave in the PFL. That's the only facility enhancement that has taken place since the Missouri Valley last looked into expansion.

This basketball team deserves to be in a conference like the Missouri Valley. Unfortunately the support to push them over the edge just isn't there.
There also needs to be an opening/offer to join.  The basketball conference world has stabilized the last few years, with little to no chance for Valpo to change conferences.  The only options (non-football conferences) are Big East (not until we have better facilities and more years in the top 35), A-10, and MVC. 

The HL is not the reason we are not going to the NCAA tournament this year.  We had a chance to win the HL tournament, but lost in our first game, after given a two round bye.  In the regular season we had four losses - @ Ball State, @ Belmont, @ Wright State, and Wright State at the ARC.  Win the home game and one other, and we should be an at-large team.  Blaming the HL, HL tournament, or anything else is just plain silly.  We need to win games and control our own destiny.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: crusaderjoe on March 08, 2016, 01:05:42 PM
Not that I am advocating that the HL is a terrible conference and that we should leave immediately but since we're now on the subject, IMO, it's too bad that Valpo didn't have a greater sense of urgency with basketball facility upgrades in 2011 when Villanova, a private FCS school, attempted to court the ACC for membership. That alone should have sounded alarm bells.  It would have been nice to at least have been put in the best position possible to be attractive to other conferences when the windows for movement were much, much wider.



Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: HC on March 08, 2016, 02:04:20 PM
The MVC did not pass Valpo over due to the school's facilities. That is a fact.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: sliman on March 08, 2016, 02:49:26 PM
Quote from: HC on March 08, 2016, 02:04:20 PM
The MVC did not pass Valpo over due to the school's facilities. That is a fact.

I agree.  Biggest reason:  a school that is IN Chicago vs. one NEAR it.  If Wichita State ever decides to leave the Valley, then we should be considered as a replacement or, if they would give an invitation to St. Louis they could include us as well to make a 12-team conference.

I also agree with covufan: the conference is not the reason we're probably not going to the NCAA tournament; the bottom half of the conference may have hurt our RPI but it was two regular season losses and a tournament loss in the conference that hurt the most.  Granted, you can lose league games in power conferences and still make it due to a higher RPI (e.g. The Big East after Villanova and Xavier), but our geographic footprint as much as size and facilities will keep us out of that picture. 
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: crusaderjoe on March 08, 2016, 03:21:51 PM
Quote from: HC on March 08, 2016, 02:04:20 PM
The MVC did not pass Valpo over due to the school's facilities. That is a fact.

OK, I'll take your word for it and I'm not trying to be argumentative, although I don't see how the ARC can be seen as an asset in this analysis. 

Putting yourself in position to be invited to another conference and putting yourself in the best position possible to be attractive to other conferences within a realignment context can either be mutually inclusive concepts or mutually exclusive concepts, depending upon the circumstances. 

Let's say realignment spurs up again next year and MVC team #12 involves a facilities comparison.  Now what? Have we put ourselves in the best position possible for consideration this time around? I'm not saying that we have to throw $50M to a new facility by the way--but are we in as best a position that we feasibly can be?
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: ValpoHoops on March 08, 2016, 04:04:57 PM
Quote from: crusaderjoe on March 08, 2016, 03:21:51 PM

Let's say realignment spurs up again next year and MVC team #12 involves a facilities comparison.  Now what? Have we put ourselves in the best position possible for consideration this time around? I'm not saying that we have to throw $50M to a new facility by the way--but are we in as best a position that we feasibly can be?


As I see it, this is the issue. Do we want to spend to upgrade, knowing that we will have to spend more to upgrade later, or do we want to do it at once. It's not an easy answer, and the funding isn't easy either.

The product on the field/court is what will ultimately decide, and the market, facilities and other areas will be ancillary. And that's not just in men's basketball. We need to continue to raise the level of all sports until we put ourselves in a position where conference want us.

Right now, we aren't there. But we can keep pushing to be our best.


Aside, I actually think our best look right now would be if the ACC wanted to add a 16th basketball/Olympic sports member, while keeping football at 14 (Notre Dame makes it 15 in everything else) and we jumped into the void left by Dayton or someone else.

But, as said above, we aren't ready yet.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: a3uge on March 08, 2016, 05:13:59 PM
Beating a dead horse here, but I'm still bitter about how this whole season played out. This is my last rant about the issue.

Maybe I'm getting my history wrong, but if I am, I'm sure Jimmy will chime in; Back in 2002, the Horizon, of course, had a disaster tournament between UIC and Loyola in Cleveland that sent a 6 seed to the NCAA tournament. The Horizon didn't immediately switch locations that year - Milwaukee had been slotted to host the tournament, and there was no way the league would shun Milwaukee with up-and-coming Bruce Pearl and the senior year of Clay Tucker. Butler had actually won the regular season, but Milwaukee, playing the championship game at home, was able to knock off Butler, and get into the tournament for the first time. Butler did get an at-large and made a Sweet 16 run. THEN the league switched locations, eyeing the opportunity to have Butler or UWM advance as a their representative every year. This switch benefitted Milwaukee and Bruce Pearl, who showed an ability to recruit (lol, wonder how?). UW-Milwaukee dominated until Bruce skipped town and Butler began winning regularly. The Horizon seemed content with the format, despite making it harder for Butler to lose and enter the tournament as an at-large.

Then Valpo started dominating the regular season, and was about to return most of their minutes after winning the regular season and the tournament. Valpo was expected to be on the at-large bubble, and a couple writers had them in their preseason top-25. So what does the Horizon do? They add NKU a year before they're eligible - an RPI killer when they knew Valpo would need SOS help from the conference. Then they switched the conference tournament to a neutral site, increasing the odds that Valpo would get knocked out in the tournament.

Neutral court tournaments. I get it. The Butler money was about to run out, and the league needed a guaranteed revenue stream. I understand why the old model started being unsustainable, annoying for media, etc. But when Valpo needed help the most, the league turned their back on their most reliable team. Valpo wasn't exactly filling Butler's or Bruce Pearl's shoes, but it was the closest thing the League had to a new powerhouse. They could have simply waited a year, announce a new site, let it sink in, and give their beat team one last chance in the existing format.

But they didn't, and now we're yelling "I told you so." I really hope they're happy. It's hilarious watching the league media tweeting about attendance figures, trying to convince themselves that what just happened wasn't a nightmare scenario.

Yeah, Valpo still had every opportunity to take care of business and make it to the tournament... But it's just really unsettling that the league sold us out like that.

I blame LPA.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: VULB#62 on March 08, 2016, 06:11:00 PM
Quote from: ValpoHoops on March 08, 2016, 04:04:57 PM
Quote from: crusaderjoe on March 08, 2016, 03:21:51 PM

Let's say realignment spurs up again next year and MVC team #12 involves a facilities comparison.  Now what? Have we put ourselves in the best position possible for consideration this time around? I'm not saying that we have to throw $50M to a new facility by the way--but are we in as best a position that we feasibly can be?


As I see it, this is the issue. Do we want to spend to upgrade, knowing that we will have to spend more to upgrade later, or do we want to do it at once. It's not an easy answer, and the funding isn't easy either.

The product on the field/court is what will ultimately decide, and the market, facilities and other areas will be ancillary. And that's not just in men's basketball. We need to continue to raise the level of all sports until we put ourselves in a position where conference want us.

Right now, we aren't there. But we can keep pushing to be our best.


Aside, I actually think our best look right now would be if the ACC wanted to add a 16th basketball/Olympic sports member, while keeping football at 14 (Notre Dame makes it 15 in everything else) and we jumped into the void left by Dayton or someone else.

But, as said above, we aren't ready yet.

Have we?    {Note: the only private schools in the HL are #8 and #10}

HL McCafferty Trophy standing 2015-2016 to date

                   Men's Total   Women's Total   McCafferty Total   Place
Cleveland State         6             7                     13                5
Detroit                       1             1                      2              10
Green Bay                 0              3                       3                9
Milwaukee                 3             12                      15                3
NKU                       2.5               4                     6.5                6
Oakland                  21              26                      47                1  :o
UIC                         10               6                      16                2
Valparaiso           0          4                   4            8
Wright State            5.5              9                 14.5                4
Youngstown State        5                0                     5                 7

The schools we bitch about (UIC and YSU) overall, are above us in the McCafferty race and YSU will do very well in T&F.  Granted they can't compete in MBB, but we look pretty weak Athletic Program-wise in everything else. How does that change?  Simple. We need to "overcompensate."  Huh?  Yep.  We are one of only two PRIVATE institutions in this league with undergrad admission standards superior to the other 8 (we had a discussion about this before and some posters seemed to think we could compete for recruits regardless.  I say no way.)   So?  Well there are athletes (remember this post is about the across the board program) we want, but have to walk away from, regardless of how good they are and how great they are as persons.   While a WSU or a NKU (only for an example and without knowing state commuter schools admissions standards) can accept an athlete who is less academically qualified but a hell of an athlete. To compensate for that handicap, Valpo needs to significantly increase it's athletic budget to support coaches, recruiting and D-I scholarships.

It's another reason why we need to find a league that has similar values and standards.  We are the exception rather than the rule in the HL, and we are paying the price. Butler knew what they were doing.  They went from HL to A-10 to Big East.  Check the progressive composition of those leagues.  Check out the WCC -- all private.  We need to try to do the same -- or at least find a conference where there is more of a balance between private and public.

But........... any of this requires a major turnaround of the administration and B of D and that ain't gonna happen in our lifetime.  Failure to act in this manner, IMO, relegates us to perpetual wannabes.

As an aside, I have to congratulate both Oakland and NKU  As the two most recent additions, to be competing across the board as the #1 and the #6 schools is commendable.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: oklahomamick on March 08, 2016, 09:17:39 PM
The regionally ranked private school, the ghetto jesuit school, and 8 state commuter schools.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: bbtds on March 10, 2016, 12:02:40 AM
Quote from: a3uge on March 08, 2016, 05:13:59 PMI blame LPA.

I'll agree that it was LPA all along. If he had only converted to Lutheran................there would have been no issues................curse of the pope...........ND will win it all and crush us all.
Title: Re: Horizon League Tournament 2016 - First Round Games
Post by: bbtds on March 19, 2016, 04:31:33 PM
Quote from: bbtds on March 06, 2016, 09:48:57 PM
Quote from: wh on March 06, 2016, 09:33:49 PMtell him that my coaches don't whine about the process in front of cameras and microphones.  They out work, out coach and out recruit the competition and earn their way to the top. And they represent Wright State University with class and dignity along the way.  Discussion over. 

I picture Tom Hanks as Forrest Gump saying "Coach Donlon, life is like a box of chocolates........."

.....and I think Donlon got a really bad chocolate this past week.