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Valpo Sports => Valpo Basketball => Topic started by: Pgmado on October 26, 2018, 03:38:46 PM

Title: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: Pgmado on October 26, 2018, 03:38:46 PM
We're back again for another wonderful installment of the Valparaiso Over/Under prop bets.

Here's the deal. Email me (pgmado@gmail.com) with your picks on the following props by 6 p.m. on Tuesday, Nov. 6. Feel free to post them here as well, but I'd prefer to have your name/email if you want to participate in the contest. Trying to track down the winner for last year was tough because I didn't know who it was. I'll post two updates throughout the year, one when conference play begins and one when Arch Madness begins. I'll then post the final standings and the winner will join me on Union Street Hoops for a victorious conversation.

If you'd like to listen to the Voice of the Crusaders, Todd Ickow give his Over/Under picks, listen to the latest episode of Union Street Hoops.

https://www.nwitimes.com/blogs/sports/inside-vu-sports/podcast-union-street-hoops-the---over-under-episode/article_04c7f880-d95b-11e8-bf8e-37fa2177f384.html#tracking-source=home-the-latest

2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Props

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game

Wins: 19.5
Arch Madness wins: 1.5
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10)
Postseason Victories: 0.5
Conference win steak: 2.5
Conference loss streak: 2.5
Attendance: 2,850

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season?
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: bbtds on October 26, 2018, 05:29:00 PM

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game UNDER

Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio UNDER

Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game UNDER

Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers UNDER

Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG OVER

Markus Golder: 50.0% FG UNDER

Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game UNDER

Derrik Smits: 25 blocks OVER

Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers OVER

John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game OVER

Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game UNDER

Wins: 19.5 UNDER

Arch Madness wins: 1.5 UNDER

MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) UNDER

Postseason Victories: 0.5 OVER

Conference win steak: 2.5 OVER

Conference loss streak: 2.5 OVER

Attendance: 2,850 OVER

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season?  10
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: FieldGoodie05 on October 26, 2018, 07:02:32 PM
2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Props

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game UNDER
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio UNDER
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game UNDER
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers UNDER
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG OVER
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG UNDER
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game UNDER
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks OVER
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers OVER
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game OVER
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game UNDER
Wins: 19.5 UNDER
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 UNDER
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) UNDER
Postseason Victories: 0.5 OVER
Conference win steak: 2.5 OVER
Conference loss streak: 2.5 OVER
Attendance: 2,850 UNDER

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season? SEVEN
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: VU2014 on October 26, 2018, 08:14:49 PM
Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game Under (I have high hopes for his future but I'll take the under from the freshman. He still could make the all-freshman team. I think Valley teams won't allow him to get easy drives to the basket. The 3pt shot just isn't there yet)

Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio Under (Coach Lottich will favor the future in terms of minutes. The writing will be on the wall by seasons end.)

Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game Under (I know coach said high assist to low TO guy but I'm not buying that. Coaches speak.)

Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers Over (This one makes me think Paul heard, Sackey might be turning the ball over in practice. I got nervous hearing the Buggs comp. Buggs was one of my favorite players but there were some maddening moments with him on the court, due to his 3pt shooting and FT shooting, but also many exciting ones. I know he's a better shooter but he needs to be a LOT better then Buggs was.)

Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG Under (A strong 3pt shooter but I'm going under)

Markus Golder: 50.0% FG Under (I think the league will adjust to him this season but he'll have a pretty good season. He'll have less easy drive to basket this season)

Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game Under (Injury will slow him down early on and the minutes split with Smits/Mileek will keep him under)

Derrik Smits: 25 blocks Under (under. He may have a big blocks games vs the lesser OOC competition)

Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers Over (I feel fairly confident about this one. If Mileek can play good defense and stay out of foul trouble, he'll get enough looks. He's a good 3pt shooter for a PF/C(?))

John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game Under (He won't get enough minutes, but will still earn some minutes because Coach trusts him on defense. I really hope he worked on his 3pt shot this season. If he consistently can knock down open 3s he will be considerably more valuable to this team if his defenders have account for him on the court.)

Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game Under (I think he has it in him but I'm going to say under. Maybe next season.)

Wins: 19.5 Under (I think we'll win 1 or 2 we are expected to lose, but we'll drop the ball against an opponent we "should" beat. I think we'll have 18 or 19 wins.)

Arch Madness wins: 1.5 Under (It sort of depends if we play on Thursday or not. If we play on Thursday we'll win that game and Friday's game will depend on who the opponent is and how we match up to their roster)

MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) Under (my heart says 5th but if I'm a betting man I'd say 6th place)

Postseason Victories: 0.5 Over (I think we play in the CBI or CIT this season and we'll make a deep run in one of those tournaments. No chance we pass up an invite from one of those tournaments this season.)

Conference win steak: 2.5 Over (We win 3 in a row sometime between: @Indiana St 1/23, Drake 1/26, Missouri St 1/29, @evansville 2/2.)

Conference loss streak: 2.5 Over (but I'm not feeling confident about this one, but I'm scarred from last season. The really tough 4 game stretch will be: Bradley 1/8, @SIU 1/12, @Loyola 1/15, UNI 1/19)

Attendance: 2,850 Under (sadly the home OOC schedule won't draw well this year. If this was next season I'd take the over. cough...Vandy...cough)
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: M on October 26, 2018, 08:53:31 PM
Freeman - under (hope I'm wrong, hard to bet on a freshman I've never seen before)

Bradford - under (he's in the doghouse and will need an injury to get pt)

Lavender - under (never seen him play)

Sackey - under (hard to bet on a freshman Point not turning it over)

Evelyn - over (should get some more open looks with the new help)

Golder- under (unless he's discovered his left hand teamswill figure him out)

Sorolla - under (wouldn't bet on either 7'er when it comes to rebounding)

Smits- over (had 21 last year, I think he'll find 5 more this year)

McMillian - over (if they give him the minutes he will be at the over by Christmas)

Kiser - under (show me the minutes)

Fazekas - over (someone has to score, I'm going with him)

Wins - under (got us at 9-9 or 10-8 in conference, not sure I can find that many more wins OOC)

Arch Madness - under (only chance at an over is if VU falls to the play in I'm afraid)

MVC Finish - under (6 or 7)

Postseason W - over (think Valpo picks up a win in one of the lower tourneys)

Win Streak - under (this was probably the hardest to pick)

Lose Streak - under (2nd hardest to pick)

Attendance - under (not enough people and not enough good competition)

Langston will appear in 6 games

I hate being so down, but feel like I'm setting myself up to be happily surprised.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: tiny707 on October 27, 2018, 09:36:43 AM
Javon Freeman: 11.5 pts. per game-OVER(20pts. a game, MVC Player of the Year and NBA First Round Pick in 2019).
Micah: 2:1 assits to turnover ration-Under.
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assits per game-Over.
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers-OVER(Never underestimate the Canadians).
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG-Over.
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG-Over(More dunks than last year).
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game-Under(Injured, will get 5.4 per game).
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks per game-Over(Sorolla injured, will get 26).
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game-Over(Need his defense, will get 1.3).
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game-Over(Will get 16pts. per game).
Wins: 19.5 Wins-Over(20 wins, see JF comments).
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 wins-Over(2 wins).
MVC Finish:5.5-Over(5th).
Postseason Victories: .5-Over(1).
Conference Win Streak: 2.5-Over(3).
Conference Loos Streak: 2.5-Under(2).
Attendance: 2,850-Over(7K, overflow will be broadcast in Chapel).
Mileek McMillian: OVER
Tie Breaker: 10
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: talksalot on October 29, 2018, 01:18:22 PM
Here goes another act of futility..(skip this one Paul, I emailed it to you)

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game      over
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio   under 
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game        over
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers     under
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG         over
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG             over
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game    push
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks         over, but he has to get them by 1/1
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers      under
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game      over
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game       over

Wins: 19.5        over
Arch Madness wins: 1.5         over
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10)       under
Postseason Victories: 0.5            under
Conference win steak: 2.5          over
Conference loss streak: 2.5        over
Attendance: 2,850                    under

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season?    8
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: valpo84 on October 30, 2018, 07:51:07 AM
2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Props

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game --UNDER
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio -- OVER
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game -- UNDER
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers -- OVER
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG -- UNDER
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG -- UNDER
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game -- UNDER
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks -- OVER
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers -- OVER
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game -- UNDER
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game -- UNDER

Wins: 19.5 -- UNDER
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 -- UNDER
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) -- UNDER
Postseason Victories: 0.5 -- UNDER
Conference win steak: 2.5 -- UNDER
Conference loss streak: 2.5 -- UNDER
Attendance: 2,850 -- OVER

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season? 10
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: ValpoFan on October 30, 2018, 01:24:15 PM
Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game   -  Under
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio  -  Over
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game  -  Under
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers  -  Under
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG  -  Under
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG   -  Over
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game  -  Under
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks  -  Over
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers  - (assuming 3 pointers made, not attempted) Under
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game  -  Under
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game  - Over

Wins: 19.5  -  Under
Arch Madness wins: 1.5  - Under
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10)  - Under
Postseason Victories: 0.5  - Under
Conference win steak: 2.5  -  Over
Conference loss streak: 2.5  -  Over
Attendance: 2,850  -  Under

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season?  5
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: swiftmutiny on October 30, 2018, 01:56:25 PM
Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game - UNDER
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio - OVER
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game - OVER
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers - OVER
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG - UNDER
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG - UNDER
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game - UNDER
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks - OVER
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers - UNDER
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game - UNDER
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game - UNDER

Wins: 19.5 - OVER
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 - OVER
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) - UNDER
Postseason Victories: 0.5 - UNDER
Conference win steak: 2.5 - OVER
Conference loss streak: 2.5 - UNDER
Attendance: 2,850 - UNDER

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season? 4


It's a tough one this year, and I'm sure I'll be completely wrong as usual.  ;D
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: vu72 on October 30, 2018, 02:27:32 PM
Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game - UNDER
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio - OVER
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game - UNDER
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers - UNDER
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG - UNDER
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG - UNDER
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game - UNDER
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks - OVER
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers - OVER
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game - OVER
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game - OVER

Wins: 19.5 - OVER
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 - OVER
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) - OVER
Postseason Victories: 0.5 - OVER
Conference win steak: 2.5 - OVER
Conference loss streak: 2.5 - UNDER
Attendance: 2,850 - OVER

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season? 6

Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: justducky on October 30, 2018, 02:45:46 PM
Quote from: Pgmado on October 26, 2018, 03:38:46 PMJavon Freeman: 11.5 points per game.      Way Under
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio        Over
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game.             Under
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers.       Over
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG.                     Under
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG             Under
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game.        Under
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks.                              Over
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers.                    Over
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game.         Under
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game.                   Under

Wins: 19.5                                                        Over
Arch Madness wins: 1.5                                     Over
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10)                 Over
Postseason Victories: 0.5                                   Over
Conference win steak: 2.5                                   Over
Conference loss streak: 2.5                                 Under
Attendance: 2,850                                            Under

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season?
11

I think I've finished dead last 3 of the last 5 years so I am swinging for the fences!  :thumbsup:
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: VUBBFan on November 01, 2018, 12:40:11 PM
I like starting out being optimistic until cold reality sets in. so here are my picks.


2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Props

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game - OVER
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio - OVER
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game - OVER
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers - UNDER
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG - UNDER
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG - UNDER
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game - OVER
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks - UNDER
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers - OVER
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game - UNDER
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game - OVER

Wins: 19.5 - OVER
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 - OVER
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) - OVER
Postseason Victories: 0.5 - OVER
Conference win steak: 2.5 - OVER
Conference loss streak: 2.5 - OVER
Attendance: 2,850 UNDER

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season? - 9

Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: vu84v2 on November 01, 2018, 12:57:48 PM
Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game - UNDER (my guess is that there will be wild swings on scoring prior to the conference season, but better consistency and an average around 13 ppg in the conference season)
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio - UNDER
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game - UNDER (this is a lot of assists for a player in his first year with any team)
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers - UNDER
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG - UNDER (shot selection and getting open will be the key factor - ability is there)
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG - UNDER (this is a high bar for anyone not playing the 5 or that is a true 4)
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game - UNDER
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks - OVER
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers - OVER
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game - UNDER
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game - OVER (just barely)

Wins: 19.5 - UNDER - this will be close, but 10-8 in the MVC would require 10 more wins.
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 - UNDER finish in the top 6, but will not make it past the semis
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) - OVER
Postseason Victories: 0.5 - OVER likely a win in the CBI or CIT
Conference win steak: 2.5 - OVER
Conference loss streak: 2.5 - UNDER  this will be 2 or 3, but I will go with under.
Attendance: 2,850 - UNDER - dragged way down by the awful non-conference schedule. There will not be 1500 people in seats for either of the two non-D1 games.

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season? 7
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: VU2014 on November 01, 2018, 06:37:24 PM
Send Paul your Over/Unders: pgmado@gmail.com and copy/paste them on the board. It's always fun to compare expectations. I also highly recommend you give the podcast a listen. Chef has some great insight into the team and guys potential roles on the team.

https://twitter.com/NWIOren/status/1058036883836583936
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: covufan on November 05, 2018, 01:25:15 PM
2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Props

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game Under
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio Over
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game Over
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers Over
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG Over
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG Over
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game Under
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks Over
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers Over
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game Under
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game Under

Wins: 19.5 Over (Overly optimistic possibly)
Arch Madness wins: 1.5 Over
MVC Finish: 5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10) Over
Postseason Victories: 0.5 Over
Conference win steak: 2.5 Over
Conference loss streak: 2.5 Over
Attendance: 2,850 Over

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season? 3
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: zvillehaze on November 05, 2018, 01:45:54 PM
Here are my guesses:

2018-19 Valparaiso O/U                
                  
1. Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game          Under
2. Micah Bradford:  2:1 assist to turnover ratio         Under
3. Deion Lavender:  3.6 assists per game         Under
4. Daniel Sackey:  18.5 games with more assists than turnovers   Under
5. Bakari Evelyn:  39.5% 3PFG            Under
6. Markus Golder:  50.0% FG            Over
7. Jaume Sorolla:  5.5 rebounds per game         Under
8. Derrik Smits:  25 blocks               Over
9. Mileek McMillan:  20.5 3-pointers            Over
10. John Kiser:  1.2 offensive rebounds per game      Under
11. Ryan Fazekas:  14.2 points per game         Under
                  
12. Wins:  19.5                  Under
13. Arch Madness wins:  1.5            Under
14. MVC Finish:  5.5 (Over means 1-5, Under means 6-10)   Under
15. Postseason Victories:  0.5            Under
16. Conference win streak:  2.5            Over
17. Conference loss streak:  2.5            Under
18. Average Attendance:  2,850            Under
                  
Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in?   8
                  
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: talksalot on November 06, 2018, 10:26:38 PM
OK, after one sorta game...

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game   OVER  22
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio... UNDER 0:0
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game  OVER    5
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers   1 SO FAR... 3 ASSTS 2 TOs
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG -  under  0-4 on the night
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG  - OVER  6-9
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game - under 0
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks - 2 blocks, on target for over 60
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers - UNDER - 0 for 0
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game - OVER  2
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game - OVER - 18

Wins: 19.5 - 1 SO FAR

Attendance: 2,850 - Not in the game box score... I don't think we hit this number tonight... but it was close...

Tiebreaker: How many games will Langston Stalling appear in this season?  1 so far.  4 points.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: EddieCabot on November 07, 2018, 11:47:20 AM
Quote from: talksalot on November 06, 2018, 10:26:38 PM
Attendance: 2,850 - Not in the game box score... I don't think we hit this number tonight... but it was close...


2,098 per the box score.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: talksalot on December 21, 2018, 02:15:07 PM
Going into the Purdue NW Game...

Javon Freeman: 11.5 points per game  - 11.0...JUST A BIT UNDER
Micah Bradford: 2:1 assist to turnover ratio  - N/A
Deion Lavender: 3.6 assists per game OVER - 65 assists in 12 games 5.41 average
Daniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers  has 13 assists and 13 turnovers for the 12 games... someone can look at the individual stats
Bakari Evelyn: 39.5% 3PFG - UNDER... 21 of 72, 29.2%
Markus Golder: 50.0% FG OVER - 44 of 85, 51.8%
Jaume Sorolla: 5.5 rebounds per game UNDER... 14 rebounds in 6 games
Derrik Smits: 25 blocks - Enroute to OVER, 16 blocks in 12 games.
Mileek McMillan: 20.5 3-pointers UNDER - is 3 of 9 from 3-point range for the year.
John Kiser: 1.2 offensive rebounds per game UNDER - has 5 offensive rebounds in 9 games
Ryan Fazekas: 14.2 points per game UNDER - average 12.4 ppg  (just below Smits with 12.9 ppg)

Wins: 19.5 ... we're gonna need 13 wins in the MVC to get here...

Attendance: 2,850 UNDER - 5 games, 2,453 average....will be tough !
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: Pgmado on December 30, 2018, 09:40:21 PM
Standings through the non-conference

8 -- VU2014, SwiftMutiny, zvillehaze
7 -- ValpoFan
6 -- JustDucky, vu84v2, covufan
5 -- FieldGoodie05, M, talksalot, Valpo84, VUBBFan
4 -- bbtds, Tiny707
3 -- VU72

There will be a shift once Smits gets six more blocks. I haven't gone into Sackey's individual stats yet.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: talksalot on January 04, 2019, 12:44:20 PM
Sackey game stats...
4 games with more assists than TO
4 games with fewer assists than TO
6 games with the same.

Needs to be over in 15 games to get to the Target
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: talksalot on January 09, 2019, 11:10:19 AM
5 Overs
7 Unders
4 Pushes
==========================

Opponent   assists   turnovers   OVER?
Concordia   3   2   OVER 
West Ky   0   1   UNDER
Monmouth   0   1   UNDER
Wake Forest   0   0   PUSH
SUI-Edwds   0   0   PUSH
West Virginia   2   0   OVER
UNLV   0   0   PUSH
UCRiverside   4   1   OVER
High Point   0   1   UNDER
Geo Washington   0   1   UNDER
Ball State   3   5   UNDER
Texas A&M   1   1   PUSH
Purdue-Nwest   6   3   OVER
Illinois State   1   2   UNDER
Missouri State   3   4   UNDER
Bradley   6   2   OVER
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: Pgmado on January 09, 2019, 01:07:50 PM
Congrats to everyone who had Over on the conference win streak.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: FieldGoodie05 on January 10, 2019, 06:51:51 PM
Hey Paul, keep up the good work with Union Street Hoops!  We appreciate you.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: EddieCabot on February 28, 2019, 12:56:19 PM
Quote from: talksalot on December 21, 2018, 02:15:07 PM
Attendance: 2,850 UNDER - 5 games, 2,453 average....will be tough !

With 1 game left, average is 2,838.  Need 3,021 Saturday to reach 2,850 and make this a push.  If you bet OVER on this one, get to the game on Saturday and bring some friends!
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: bbtds on February 28, 2019, 02:08:05 PM
Quote from: EddieCabot on February 28, 2019, 12:56:19 PM
Quote from: talksalot on December 21, 2018, 02:15:07 PM
Attendance: 2,850 UNDER - 5 games, 2,453 average....will be tough !

With 1 game left, average is 2,838.  Need 3,021 Saturday to reach 2,850 and make this a push.  If you bet OVER on this one, get to the game on Saturday and bring some friends!

And if you had UNDER......................you could make sure the tables are blocking the doors BEFORE the game.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: talksalot on February 28, 2019, 04:51:14 PM
5,867 at Carver Arena in the Peoria Civic Center last night.  Engaged Crowd.  The Bradley Student "Section" (next to the band) had 17 students in it.  It helps to go 6-1 in February, it was Senior Night for 5 seniors.  There were 15-or so Band Members, one cheerleader and 10 Bravettes were recognized during a media time out.  The 4 team Managers were recognized during another media time out.   Didn't stick around to see if they made Senior speeches, they photo-op was pre-game.  based on the traffic coming out of the parking garages, didn't look like a lot of people were sticking around.

The Facilities folks were probably happy to see us leave; Blake Shelton is scheduled for a performance in the arena tonight.

Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: bbtds on March 01, 2019, 11:14:22 AM
Here are some standings that I put together on my own for posters on this board.

swiftmutiny, ValpoFan--11
bbtds, FieldGoodie05, VU2014, zvillehaze--10
valpo84, vu84v2--9
covufan, justducky, M--8
talksalot, vu72, VUBBFan--7
tiny707-4


I used these categories

Freeman   10.9 points/game  UNDER
Bradford  (not counted)
Lavender  3.87 assts/game  OVER
Sackey  10 games more assts than TO  UNDER
Evelyn  32.0% 3PT FG%  UNDER
Golder  44.2% FG%  UNDER
Sorolla  3.2 rebounds/game  UNDER
Smits  29 blocks  OVER
McMillan  9 3pointers  UNDER
Kiser  .58 offensive rebounds/game  UNDER
Fazekas  11.8 points/game  UNDER
Wins  14  UNDER
Arch Madness Wins (not counted yet)
MVC Finish  8th  UNDER
Post Season Wins (not counted yet)
Conf. Win Streak  OVER
Conf. Loss Streak  OVER
Attendance 2,838 avg. MOST LIKELY UNDER (but not counted yet)
Tiebreaker: Stalling  7 games played (not counted yet)
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: talksalot on March 01, 2019, 02:35:37 PM
RE Sackey... Here's what I've been tracking (Assists and Turnovers) .. and may have screwed up...

West Va   2   0   OVER      
UCRiverside   4   1   OVER      
Purdue-Nwest   6   3   OVER      
Bradley   6   2   OVER         
Southern Illinois   2   1   OVER      
Drake   4   2   OVER         
Missouri State   2   0   OVER      
Illinois State   6   4   OVER      
Drake   2   1   OVER         
Concordia   3   2   OVER        

                  COUNT 10

Wake Forest   0   0   PUSH
SUI-Edwds   0   0   PUSH
UNLV   0   0   PUSH   
Texas A&M   1   1   PUSH   
Northern Iowa   1   1   PUSH
Indiana State   1   1   PUSH
Evansville   2   2   PUSH   
Loyola   2   2   PUSH   
Bradley   1   1   PUSH   
   COUNT 9

West Ky   0   1   UNDER         
Monmouth   0   1   UNDER         
High Point   0   1   UNDER         
Geo Washington   0   1   UNDER      
Ball State   3   5   UNDER      
Illinois State   1   2   UNDER      
Missouri State   3   4   UNDER      
Loyola   0   1   UNDER      
Indiana State   3   4   UNDER      
Southern Illinois   2   5   UNDER      
Northern Iowa   1   3   UNDER      
          COUNT 11

Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: bbtds on March 01, 2019, 05:56:05 PM
And I also had 10 games with more assists than turnovers, talks. So we agree. The stat that, I believe, Paul was looking for was the number of games that Sackey had more assists than turnovers. The games when Daniel had equal number of assists to turnovers don't count.

Quote from: Pgmado on October 26, 2018, 03:38:46 PMDaniel Sackey: 18.5 games with more assists than turnovers
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: valpopal on March 02, 2019, 03:58:04 PM
Quote from: EddieCabot on February 28, 2019, 12:56:19 PM
Quote from: talksalot on December 21, 2018, 02:15:07 PM
Attendance: 2,850 UNDER - 5 games, 2,453 average....will be tough !

With 1 game left, average is 2,838.  Need 3,021 Saturday to reach 2,850 and make this a push.  If you bet OVER on this one, get to the game on Saturday and bring some friends!

Attendance for Evansville game listed as 2592 dispirited fans.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: zvillehaze on March 15, 2019, 06:08:32 PM
Quote from: bbtds on March 01, 2019, 11:14:22 AM
Bradford  (not counted)

Why not?  Bradford had 0 assists and 1 turnover on the year for a ratio of 0:1.  My "Under" prediction should count!
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: VUBBFan on March 15, 2019, 08:22:38 PM
So, who is the winner?
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: zvillehaze on March 15, 2019, 09:18:23 PM
Quote from: VUBBFan on March 15, 2019, 08:22:38 PM
So, who is the winner?

Good question.  I think I was in contention, but I doubt Paul will invite me onto the podcast if I win.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: bbtds on March 16, 2019, 01:16:18 AM
Freeman   11.0 points/game  UNDER
Bradford  0:1 assists:TO  UNDER
Lavender  3.73 assts/game  OVER
Sackey  10 games more assts than TO  UNDER
Evelyn  30.6% 3PT FG%  UNDER
Golder  43.0% FG%  UNDER
Sorolla  3.1 rebounds/game  UNDER
Smits  31 blocks  OVER
McMillan  10 3pointers  UNDER
Kiser  .55 offensive rebounds/game  UNDER
Fazekas  11.8 points/game  UNDER
Wins  15  UNDER
Arch Madness Wins  1.0  UNDER
MVC Finish  9th  UNDER
Post Season Wins  0.0  UNDER
Conf. Win Streak  OVER
Conf. Loss Streak  OVER
Attendance 2,821 avg.  UNDER
Tiebreaker: Stalling  8 games played


zvillehaze 14 (had tiebreaker correct-Stalling 8)
Valpofan 14
swiftmutiny 13
VU2014 13
FieldGoodie05 13
valpo84 13
bbtds 12
vu84v2 12
M 11
talksalot 10
justducky 9
covufan 8
VUBBFan 8
vu72 7
tiny707 5

Since this is Pgmado's thread my calculations mean nothing and there could have been entrants on other forms of social media. Also I believe Paul is waiting because there is a slight chance Valpo could be invited to a post season tournament. I've heard no anticipation of something like that happening from the athletic dept so I counted post season victories as zero.
Title: Re: 2018-19 Valparaiso Over/Under Prop Bets
Post by: VULB#62 on March 16, 2019, 09:33:35 AM
All those UNDERS kinda tell you about the season we had.