Offensive Efficiency Conference-Only Rank
1. No. Iowa
2. Bradley
3. Drake
4. Ind. St.
5. Loyola
6. Mizz. St.
7. Valpo
8. So. Ill.
9. Ill. St.
10. Evansville
Defensive Efficiency Conference-Only Rank
1. Loyola
2. So. Ill.
3. Ind. St.
4. No. Iowa
5. Bradley
6. Valpo
7. Ill. St.
8. Drake
9. Mizz. St.
10. Evansville
Current Record/Expected Record for the remaining games:
Final Expected Record
in Conference
1. No. Iowa 10-2/6-0 16-2
2. Bradley 7-5/4-2 11-7
3. Drake 6-6/3-3 9-9
4. Indiana St. 7-5/4-2 11-7
5. Loyola 8-4/4-2 12-6
6. Mizz. St. 5-7/2-4 7-11
7. Valpo 5-7/4-2 9-9
8. So. Ill. 9-3/2-4 11-7
9. Ill. St 3-9/1-5 4-14
10. Evansville 0-12/0-6 0-18
If this goes as expected, Valpo will be straddling positions 6th and 7th place, the tie-breaker to be determined by the MVC's tie-breaking rules.
EDIT: The cumulative probabilities place Valpo at 8-10, a solid tie for 7th and 8th with Mizz. St.